Stuckey: My 2019 French Open ATP and WTA Futures Bets

May 26, 2019 12:30 AM EDT
Credit:

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kiki Bertens and Madison Keys

  • Set your alarms for 5 a.m. ET on Sunday morning for the start of the 2019 French Open.
  • Stuckey walks through the WTA and ATP draws and shares his futures for this year at Roland Garros.

Handicapping the futures market ahead of the four tennis Grand Slams is one of my favorite exercises of the year. Digging into the 128-player fields is a daunting task, but the rewards can be fruitful. This is especially true for the puzzle known as WTA, which looks ripe for upsets at this year’s French Open.

After obsessing over this draw for over 36 hours, I have finally crafted my futures card. Let’s start with the ATP, which should be much more straightforward than the WTA.

ATP French Open Futures

If you fancy long shots, Roland Garros has not been kind over the past decade-plus. In fact, only four men have won the French Open over the past 14 years. Amazingly, Nadal has won 11 of those 14. The true King of Clay.

Is this the year that changes? Possibly — although it looks like we will see many of the same cast of characters toward the end of the show. Before I get into the draw, here is the 2019 ATP French Open betting cheat sheet for your reference.

Looking at the extremely favorable draws of Djokovic and Nadal, I don’t see anybody worth an investment in the futures market to take either out before the semifinals.

Despite his past woes against Fernando Verdasco, who lurks in his section, Dominic Thiem should also navigate through his quarter. The Austrian has advanced to the semis at the French Open in each of the past three years at Roland Garros. No other player on Tour can make that claim.

I’ll happily back the second-best clay player on Tour at 7-1, especially considering he can’t face Nadal until potentially the final.

That leaves Federer’s quarter, which looks completely wide-open. The big names in this section just don’t strike any fear in me for a myriad of reasons.

Federer, who hasn’t even competed at the French Open in the past three years, looks as vulnerable as he ever has in his illustrious career. Especially on clay.

Marin Cilic has been an absolute mess, Stan Wawrinka is still searching for his peak form and I don’t trust Kei Nishikori at this point in his career.

You will also find American Francis Tiafoe in this quarter. He replaced the enigmatic Nick Kyrgios as the last seed, but I don’t think he’s ready for a deep run here yet.

I could make a case that Marco Cecchicato, Diego Schwartzman and Matteo Berrettini hold some value. They are each fine clay-court players when on their game — and this is the quarter to take a long shot in. However, I  have my sights set on a different target: Greek phenom Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Not only does the Greek arrive in good form, he should have no shortage of confidence after defeating some of the best players on Tour over the past two seasons.

Tsitsipas beat Nadal and Alexander on clay in Rome earlier this month. He also took out Federer at the 2019 Australian Open en route to a semifinals appearance in Melbourne. I think he can repeat that run here in Paris — and potentially take it a step further. He is one of the few players on Tour with the game and mindset to challenge the Big 3.

If you insist on taking a long shot, here are the only three names that I even remotely considered:

  • Fabio Fognini 100-1
  • Matteo Berrettini 200-1
  • Laslo Djere 500-1

I ultimately decided to stay away from all three and just roll with the Austrian and the Greek.

French Open ATP Futures

Dominic Thiem 7-1
Stefanos Tsistsipas 25-1

WTA French Open Futures

In complete contrast to the ATP, the 2019 WTA French Open draw is completely wide-open. I could realistically see 25 different women taking home the hardware. Before I get into my take on the field, here is a handy betting cheat sheet to gather a little more intel on all 32 seeds.

This year’s French Open feels even more wide-open than other WTA Grand Slams as a result of the countless injury and form concerns of this year’s seeded players. This tourney presents a tremendous opportunity for one of the up-and-comers to break through.

I will walk you through my quick thoughts on each of the quarters before finishing with my final futures card. Let’s start with top-seeded Naomi Osaka’s quarter.

Naomi Osaka Quarter

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