French Open Round 4 Betting Preview: Djokovic, Fognini vs. Zverev Headline Monday’s Card

Jun 03, 2019 08:25 PM EDT

Susan Mullane, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Novak Djokovic

  • The Round of 16 at the French Open continues on Monday with four matches.
  • Novak Djokovic is a massive favorite over Jan-Lennard Struff but the other three matches should be highly entertaining.
  • Daniel Scotti previews the conclusion of Round 4 at Roland-Garros:

The fourth round of the 2019 French Open concludes on Monday.

In addition to the conclusion of the suspended match between Kei Nishikori and Benoit Paire, we will also be treated to four more matches at Roland-Garros.

  • Novak Djokovic (-3000) vs. Jan-Lennard Struff (+1200), 6:30 a.m. ET
  • Fabio Fognini (-120) vs. Alexander Zverev (+100), 8 a.m. ET
  • Dominic Thiem (-270) vs. Gael Monfils (+220), 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Karen Khachanov (+170) vs. Juan Martin del Potro (-200), 10 a.m. ET

First on court will be Novak Djokovic facing off against Jan Lennard Struff. I don’t sense any upset brewing against the World No. 1. Djokovic has looked strong in Paris thus far, and while Struff has looked equally as impressive, Djokovic’s best is simply too good for Struff. I expect Djokovic to come through this one.

Later on, Karen Khachanov (+175) will be taking on Juan Martin del Potro (-225), and I find this one to be an extremely tough match to wager on.

It’s sometimes easy to overlook the fact that Delpo is still just returning from injury, and came into Paris with very limited matchplay. Having said that, in the limited sample we’ve seen from Delpo in his return, he has put himself in a winning position against Novak (in Rome), and finds himself now in the Round of 16 at the French Open.

If Delpo is fully fit and able to fire the forehand for however long it takes, he’s clearly got the class in this matchup. But any hiccup from Delpo, and Khachanov will be there to capitalize.

The value is probably with Khachanov, who has played Delpo tightly in the best-of-5 format before (Australian Open, 2018), but this is a no-bet match for me, given Delpo’s potential to win this one comprehensively, given he is fit.

Gael Monfils (+220) vs. Dominic Thiem (-270)

Perhaps the best match of the day will come when Gael Monfils takes on Domi Thiem. And while I thought Thiem was worth an outright bet before the tournament, I’m worried about this matchup — given how Gael has looked this week in Paris.

The home favorite almost anywhere he plays, Gael Monfils has really rallied behind the true local support at Roland Garros (where they love him even more). Gael’s been playing really aggressive tennis — and if he can make Thiem play more defense than offense, he’ll give himself a great shot to win this match.

This encounter will likely come down to whether or not Thiem, who has been a little shaky to start this tournament, can up his level and force the Parisian to defend.

I think both players will trade sets and this one will come down to a few key points later in the match. If Thiem’s going to win, he’s got to stay offensive. I’ve noticed this season that Thiem has used the slice more within rallies, something he did far less on clay in the past, and for the most part it’s been a successful tactic.

That said, against a player like Gael, who can go for any line on any shot, it’s a more vulnerable shot. I think Thiem’s going to have to fight fire with fire, which he’s shown in the past he can do as well as anyone.

But, with that gameplan, there is more margin for error. I think this match can go either way and look forward to watching it.

And that brings us to my favorite bet of the day: in the Fognini-Zverev match.

Fabio Fognini (-120) vs. Sascha Zverev (+100)

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