BMW Championship Betting Guide: Is Jordan Spieth All the Way Back?

Sep 04, 2018 05:39 PM EDT

Dennis Schneidler, USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jordan Spieth

  • Dustin Johnson (+900) is the betting favorite to win the BMW Championship at Aronimink Golf Club.
  • Jordan Spieth (+2200) and Rickie Fowler (+3800) are good value bets along with Francesco Molinari (+4000).
  • Further down the board, longshots Tyrrell Hatton (+6000), Rafa Cabrera-Bello (+8000) and Abraham Ancer (+15000) are all in good form.

The FedEx Cup Playoffs have quickly turned into the DeChambeau show.

A week after cashing at +8000 in the Northern Trust, Bryson DeChambeau backed it up with a win at +4500 in the Dell Technologies Championship.

Now the challenge is seeing if we can find anyone to beat him this week.

The PGA Tour’s third playoff stop heads to an unfamiliar venue at Aronimink Golf Club in the Philadelphia area.

We’ve seen this course used only twice on tour in the last 50 years for the 2010 and 2011 AT&T National won by Justin Rose and Nick Watney. In those two years, it played as a 7,237-yard par 70.

In both of those tournaments, it was the cream of the field that “rose” to the top. Rose was just entering his prime and picked up his second win within a month at the 2010 event. Meanwhile, Watney was enjoying the best season of his career in 2011, when he won twice, recorded 10 top-10s and finished fourth in strokes gained: total.

Both Rose and Watney were gaining strokes in every aspect of the game that season, which makes me think that Aronimink will be a course that tests all facets of a player’s ability and exploit any weakness. With just two par-5s, it’s not as likely to cater to bombers as much as someone who has a solid all-around game.


Dustin Johnson opened as the favorite again at +900. He seems to be cemented in that spot, but there is a good argument to be had that it should be Justin Rose this week. He’s next in line at +1200 and is coming off a second-place finish over Labor Day Weekend. Couple that with a previous win here and Rose would be of far more interest to me than DJ right now.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game

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