Photo credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth
- I created a golf model optimized for the 2019 U.S. Open to identify head-to-head betting opportunities for this week's tournament.
- Below are my five favorite matchup bets among the studs in the field, including Jordan Spieth vs. Rory McIlroy.
It can be frustrating betting to-win odds when fields are as big as they are for the U.S. Open. A fun way to bet instead is with head-to-head matchup props. Below are five of my favorite values for this week’s U.S. Open at Pebble Beach.
Webb Simpson (-150) over Phil Mickelson
According to Westgate SuperBook this past Sunday, Phil Mickelson was apparently their biggest liability for the U.S. Open. It makes sense why: He’s one of the biggest names in golf and he won the Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this year. He has great history at that event.
But this isn’t a Pro-Am — where only two of the four days are played at Pebble, mind you — and the U.S. Open will be set up as a much tougher test. Under those conditions, Simpson is an easy buy even at this price.
The former U.S. Open winner is coming off a second-place at the Canadian Open and remains in excellent ball-striking form this season. He seems to fit this course well, as it will reward accuracy given the brutal rough and tiny greens. Phil has been erratic as usual lately and has now missed four of his last six cuts. I’d bet this to -180.