2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds, Picks & Preview: Callum Tarren, Ben Griffin & Matti Schmid Among Top Plays

I've said before: When the favorite wins, I won't. That was the case at THE CJ CUP, where Rory McIlroy took home the title at the top of the odds board.

Now, we head to a beautiful event for betting at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.

This field looks like the fall version of the Puerto Rico Open, and we've seen that the winners don't really need to show much form coming in to compete.

The Course

Port Royal Golf Course is short by PGA TOUR standards, measuring at just over 6,800 yards for a par 71.

In the first two years, Brendon Todd and Brian Gay took down the title, so players definitely don’t need to be long to compete here. Lucas Herbert won last season and is much longer off the tee, breaking the short, accurate trend that had started, but those are still the type of players I'd look to here.

It looks like a stormy week ahead with rain, wind and lightning in the forecast. If it isn’t windy, we can expect the scores to reach into the 20-under range again this week. But with many of the holes right along the ocean, wind is the biggest potential issue for players at this course.

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The Favorites

Denny McCarthy opens as the favorite here at +1400, which tells us everything we need to know about this field. He's a great course fit and has two top 15s in three starts here. He's also reached the weekend in five of his last six starts, so the form is better than most.

Thomas Detry and Adrian Meronk are next in line at +1800. Detry finished 22nd here last year, while Meronk is making his debut. Detry has been in solid form since earning his PGA TOUR card during the KFT finals. Meronk was in great form over in Europe and eventually grabbed his first win there in the summer. The form tapered off, though, since that win. He's been making a lot of cuts but hasn't finished in the top 10 since.

Seamus Power and Mark Hubbard close out this range at +2500. They are two more solid fits, and we've seen Power's win come in a similar strength event at the Sanderson Farms. Hubbard is on the shorter side and relies on the short game, so his skill set lines up well with both Todd and Gay's skill set.

The Mid-Tier

I'll be going with Callum Tarren here at +5500 on bet365. Tarren has been a fairly common player on my card in events of this level. He's not the fit we've seen here before; he's much longer off the tee than some of the previous winners, but I like his overall talent level at this price. He's cooled off a bit since a solid run this summer but was 13th a few weeks ago at the Sanderson Farms, so his game is still close to where it needs to be to compete in this type of event.

We'll also go to Harry Hall at +7000 on DraftKings. Hall has relied heavily on his short game throughout his KFT career to get him to this stage, so this is one of the better courses for him if he's going to keep his card. Hall also had a good week in familiar surroundings at the Shriners, where he placed 15th. Hopefully, he can carry that over to a setup that should fit his style.

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The Longshots

I'll go with Ben Griffin here at 120/1 on FanDuel. Griffin is the type of player who fits this course perfectly. He's shown up well on shorter courses like his fourth at Wyndham right before the end of season. He also played well in the Caribbean events on the KFT, finishing eighth and 12th in the Bahamas. He was in a bit of rut to start the new season but made his last two cuts at the Sanderson Farms and Shriners, so the game has turned around a bit.

I'll also go down here and play Matti Schmid at 110/1 on FanDuel. Schmid's form has been hit-and-miss, but he's recorded top 10s in Europe, the PGA TOUR and the KFT. His game has traveled well, and this is another event without many of the names, where a guy whose talent suggests he has another level could pop up and grab a win at a big number.

It's not really the best course for him, since distance is his strong suit, and the scrambling hasn't ever been his thing, but I'm taking a flier on a player I rate well at a triple-digit price.

The Bermuda Card

• Callum Tarren +5500
• Harry Hall +7000
• Matti Schmid +11000
• Ben Griffin +12000

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