2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Updated Odds & 3 Picks, Including Sungjae Im & Will Zalatoris

2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Updated Odds & 3 Picks, Including Sungjae Im & Will Zalatoris article feature image

Andy Lyons / Getty Images. Pictured: Sungjae Im

  • Torrey Pines' North and South Courses host the Farmers Insurance Open this week.
  • Six of the top-10 players in the world will be in La Jolla, but Joshua Perry sees value a little lower on the odds board.
  • Check out Perry's picks and betting card below.

The AmEx played out like many before it with a bunch of longshots contending to grab a potentially career-altering win and a coveted Masters berth.

In the end, there was at least some method to its madness as Hudson Swafford came up with his second win at the event.

Now we move on to The Farmers Insurance Invitational at Torrey Pines which will feature a Wednesday start this week in an effort to dodge the final round going head-to-head with the NFL.

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The Courses

For this event, the first two days will be split over Torrey Pines’ South and North courses with the players then using the South course on the weekend to finish.

The South course is a long and difficult par 72 measuring over 7,700 yards. On top of the length, it has narrow fairways and deep rough, making it one of the hardest driving tests on the PGA TOUR.

Length is always an advantage here, but more so if golfers can keep the driver in play. It appears like a total driving test, but players with the ability to recover from the rough and stronger short games can play well here.

The players will also see Poa Annua greens for the first time this year after three weeks on Bermuda. So this will be a chance to take a look at a few players who have struggled on the greens over the past couple of tournaments and see if they’re better suited to bounce back on a new surface.

The North course is the easier of the two and plays about 450 yards shorter than the South. A player will generally need to have a pretty solid round here, because the South course usually plays too difficult to make up much ground. It plays about 1-2 strokes easier than the South course on any given year.

The Favorites

We'll be saying this all year, but again it's Jon Rahm atop the odds at around +700. Rahm was complaining about the easy setup last week, but we likely won't hear much negativity from him this week as he heads to what seems like his favorite spot on the PGA TOUR schedule. He's got two wins here, including the U.S. Open last year, and has only finished outside top 10 once in six starts including the major.

Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele come in next at around +1400. Thomas doesn't play here often. He was 19th at the U.S. Open last year, but he lost strokes with his ball striking that week. Xander has played better here recently with a second at the Farmers and a seventh in the U.S. Open last season.

A large group make up that +2000s range including Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau, Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama and Sam Burns. But of the group, I'd lean more toward Daniel Berger at +2200. He was seventh at the U.S. Open but hasn't had any real success here when it's been a PGA Tour set up, missing the cut three times in four tries. That's enough to keep me off him in this range.

The Mid-Tier

Instead we'll be starting here with Sungjae Im at +3200 on FanDuel. Im bounced back from a rare missed cut at the Sony with a decent result last week. He's finished inside the top 20 now in five of his last six starts, including a win at the Shriners. His results at Torrey have been mediocre, but he's made the cut in all four starts here and has had success at Augusta and Bay Hill with top three finishes, two courses where we see some correlation to Torrey Pines.

Bet Sungjae Im at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Next, I'll go to Will Zalatoris at +3500 on DraftKings. Zalatoris will have concerns with the putter, so a birdie fest like last week doesn't suit him as much as a course that's more difficult from tee to green. We saw him get that one hot round at the Amex, and that was enough to lead to a solid result.

But this is the type of event where he can grab that first win. Torrey Pines has some of the most difficult greens to putt on tour and with more people missing inside that 10 foot range than normal, that can put the emphasis on Will's strength if he can manage to find an average week with the putter.

We'll also go with Francesco Molinari at +8000 on BetMGM. Molinari has struggled quite a bit for the last couple years but has popped up and played well at Torrey, finishing 10th at the Farmers and 13th at the U.S. Open last year. He was also sixth at the Amex last week, and his two previous strong results at this event were preceded by top 15 finishes at that event. Since 2020, he's been at his worst, but even during that time, Torrey has been kind to him. If the game really has returned, he's capable of competing here.

Bet Francesco Molinari at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

The Farmers Insurance Card

  • Sungjae Im +3200 (1.03 units)
  • Will Zalatoris +3500 (.94 units)
  • Francesco Molinari +8000 (.41 units)

Total Stake: 2.38 units

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds via BetMGM

Jon Rahm+700
Justin Thomas+1400
Hideki Matsuyama+1800
Xander Schauffele+1800
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Daniel Berger+2200
Dustin Johnson+2200
Sam Burns+2500
Tony Finau+2500
Scottie Scheffler+2800
Sungjae Im+2800
Brooks Koepka+3300
Marc Leishman+3300
Will Zalatoris+3300
Jordan Spieth+4000
Max Homa+5000
Patrick Reed+5000
Talor Gooch+5000
Corey Conners+5000
Francesco Molinari+6600
Jason Day+6600
Justin Rose+6600
Lanto Griffin+6600
Luke List+6600
Matthew Wolff+6600
Maverick McNealy+6600
Si Woo Kim+6600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+6600
Joaquin Niemann+6600
Ryan Palmer+6600
Aaron Wise+8000
Cam Davis+8000
Cameron Tringale+8000
Jhonattan Vegas+8000
Billy Horschel+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
Mackenzie Hughes+8000
Tom Hoge+8000
Keith Mitchell+10000
Mito Pereira+10000
Rickie Fowler+10000
Brandt Snedeker+10000
Alex Noren+12500
Carlos Ortiz+12500
Gary Woodland+12500
Carlos Ortiz+12500
Gary Woodland+12500
Hudson Swafford+12500
Matt Jones+12500
Patrick Rodgers+12500
Patton Kizzire+12500
Adam Hadwin+15000
Adam Svensson+15000
Alex Smalley+15000
Charley Hoffman+15000
Joel Dahmen+15000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Lee Hodges+15000
Taylor Moore+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Aaron Rai+15000
Cameron Champ+15000
Doug Ghim+15000
Emiliano Grillo+15000
Harry Higgs+15000
Kevin Streelman+15000
Kyle Stanley+15000
Sebastian Munoz+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
C.T. Pan+20000
Davis Riley+20000
Dylan Frittelli+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Henrik Norlander+20000
Michael Thompson+20000
Nick Taylor+20000
Phil Mickelson+20000
Sahith Theegala+20000
Scott Stallings+20000
Cameron Young+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Greyson Sigg+20000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Taylor Pendrith+20000
Adam Long+25000
Adam Schenk+25000
Camilo Villegas+25000
Danny Lee+25000
David Lipsky+25000
Dylan Wu+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Jason Dufner+25000
John Huh+25000
Martin Laird+25000
Matthew NeSmith+25000
Paul Barjon+25000
Robert Streb+25000
Rory Sabbatini+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Andrew Novak+30000
Bronson Burgoon+30000
Chad Ramey+30000
James Hahn+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Scott Piercy+30000
Tyler McCumber+30000
Austin Eckroat+30000
Max McGreevy+35000
Nick Hardy+35000
Pat Perez+35000
Trey Mullinax+35000
Anirban Lahiri+40000
Brandon Hagy+40000
Brian Stuard+40000
Brice Garnett+40000
Doc Redman+40000
Kevin Tway+40000
Peter Uihlein+40000
Richy Werenski+40000
Sung Kang+40000
Max McGreevy+40000
Peter Malnati+40000
Richy Werenski+40000
Sung Kang+40000
Jonathan Byrd+40000
Ben Kohles+50000
Brandon Wu+50000
David Skinns+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Jimmy Walker+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Kevin Chappell+50000
Kevin Yu+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Peter Malnati+50000
Scott Gutschewski+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
Justin Lower+50000
Kamaiu Johnson+50000
Kurt Kitayama+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Michael Block+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Ryan Alford+50000
Scott Gutschewski+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
Taylor Montgomery+50000
Brent Grant+50000
Austin Cook+60000
Bill Haas+60000
Callum Tarren+60000
Chesson Hadley+60000
Justin Lower+60000
Kurt Kitayama+60000
Martin Trainer+60000
Austin Smotherman+75000
Brett Drewitt+75000
Chris Stroud+75000
Curtis Thompson+75000
Dawie van der Walt+75000
Jared Wolfe+75000
Seung Yul Noh+75000
Jared du Toit+75000
Jonas Blixt+100000
Max Sear+100000
Ryan Alford+200000
Kamaiu Johnson+250000
Michael Block+300000

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