2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Updated Odds & 3 Picks, Including Sungjae Im & Will Zalatoris
Andy Lyons / Getty Images. Pictured: Sungjae Im
- Torrey Pines' North and South Courses host the Farmers Insurance Open this week.
- Six of the top-10 players in the world will be in La Jolla, but Joshua Perry sees value a little lower on the odds board.
- Check out Perry's picks and betting card below.
The AmEx played out like many before it with a bunch of longshots contending to grab a potentially career-altering win and a coveted Masters berth.
In the end, there was at least some method to its madness as Hudson Swafford came up with his second win at the event.
Now we move on to The Farmers Insurance Invitational at Torrey Pines which will feature a Wednesday start this week in an effort to dodge the final round going head-to-head with the NFL.
For this event, the first two days will be split over Torrey Pines’ South and North courses with the players then using the South course on the weekend to finish.
The South course is a long and difficult par 72 measuring over 7,700 yards. On top of the length, it has narrow fairways and deep rough, making it one of the hardest driving tests on the PGA TOUR.
Length is always an advantage here, but more so if golfers can keep the driver in play. It appears like a total driving test, but players with the ability to recover from the rough and stronger short games can play well here.
The players will also see Poa Annua greens for the first time this year after three weeks on Bermuda. So this will be a chance to take a look at a few players who have struggled on the greens over the past couple of tournaments and see if they’re better suited to bounce back on a new surface.
The North course is the easier of the two and plays about 450 yards shorter than the South. A player will generally need to have a pretty solid round here, because the South course usually plays too difficult to make up much ground. It plays about 1-2 strokes easier than the South course on any given year.
We’ll be saying this all year, but again it’s Jon Rahm atop the odds at around +700. Rahm was complaining about the easy setup last week, but we likely won’t hear much negativity from him this week as he heads to what seems like his favorite spot on the PGA TOUR schedule. He’s got two wins here, including the U.S. Open last year, and has only finished outside top 10 once in six starts including the major.
Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele come in next at around +1400. Thomas doesn’t play here often. He was 19th at the U.S. Open last year, but he lost strokes with his ball striking that week. Xander has played better here recently with a second at the Farmers and a seventh in the U.S. Open last season.
A large group make up that +2000s range including Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau, Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama and Sam Burns. But of the group, I’d lean more toward Daniel Berger at +2200. He was seventh at the U.S. Open but hasn’t had any real success here when it’s been a PGA Tour set up, missing the cut three times in four tries. That’s enough to keep me off him in this range.
Instead we’ll be starting here with Sungjae Im at +3200 on FanDuel. Im bounced back from a rare missed cut at the Sony with a decent result last week. He’s finished inside the top 20 now in five of his last six starts, including a win at the Shriners. His results at Torrey have been mediocre, but he’s made the cut in all four starts here and has had success at Augusta and Bay Hill with top three finishes, two courses where we see some correlation to Torrey Pines.
Next, I’ll go to Will Zalatoris at +3500 on DraftKings. Zalatoris will have concerns with the putter, so a birdie fest like last week doesn’t suit him as much as a course that’s more difficult from tee to green. We saw him get that one hot round at the Amex, and that was enough to lead to a solid result.
But this is the type of event where he can grab that first win. Torrey Pines has some of the most difficult greens to putt on tour and with more people missing inside that 10 foot range than normal, that can put the emphasis on Will’s strength if he can manage to find an average week with the putter.
We’ll also go with Francesco Molinari at +8000 on BetMGM. Molinari has struggled quite a bit for the last couple years but has popped up and played well at Torrey, finishing 10th at the Farmers and 13th at the U.S. Open last year. He was also sixth at the Amex last week, and his two previous strong results at this event were preceded by top 15 finishes at that event. Since 2020, he’s been at his worst, but even during that time, Torrey has been kind to him. If the game really has returned, he’s capable of competing here.
The Farmers Insurance Card
- Sungjae Im +3200 (1.03 units)
- Will Zalatoris +3500 (.94 units)
- Francesco Molinari +8000 (.41 units)
Total Stake: 2.38 units
2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds via BetMGM
|Si Woo Kim||+6600|
|Dawie van der Walt||+75000|
|Seung Yul Noh||+75000|
|Jared du Toit||+75000|
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