2022 PGA Championship Odds, Picks: 2 Outright Bets & 1 DFS Target
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Spieth.
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Click arrow to expand 2022 PGA Championship odds via BetMGM
2022 PGA Championship Odds
|Harold Varner III||+10000|
|Si Woo Kim||+12500|
|Erik van Rooyen||+20000|
|Min Woo Lee||+30000|
|Daniel van Tonder||+50000|
|Wyatt Worthington ll||+100000|
The PGA Championship used to be thought of as the little sibling to the other three majors, but that has changed in recent years. The PGA of America has done a tremendous job when it comes to course selection and moving this up in the schedule so that it is the second major has really helped boost the appeal. The only knock now is the PGA Championship app, which we all hope provides a better sweat experience this time around.
This championship changes venues each year and is stopping at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. The Champions Course is a par 70 that measures almost 7,600 yards. We typically see most of the scoring come on the par fives, but that may not be the case this week. There are only two par 5s on the scorecard, and they measure 632 and 656 yards.
There aren’t many trees on the property and the rough isn’t expected to be very penal. Off the tee, golfers will see extremely wide fairways (40 yards on average). In theory, this should benefit those that are long off the tee.
However, water is in play off the tee on at least seven holes and in play on approach on at least 13 holes. If you spray the ball, you can easily find these hazards than run alongside and through many of the fairways.
Approach play will be critical this week, as these greens are very small given the length of the course. On top of that, they are surrounded by deep bunkers and steep run-off areas. Everyone’s short game will be put to test this week. Ultimately, you can never go wrong targeting golfers that are solid all-around and targeting golfers that tend to play their best in the majors.
Favorite Bet: Jordan Spieth +2000 (BetMGM)
I wasn’t expecting to bet Spieth at the start of the week, but the more I dive into the numbers, the more he sticks out like a sore thumb.
I mentioned the importance of having a solid all-around game and if we look at the numbers from 2022, Spieth is in the top 35 in this field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, Approach and Around the Green, as well as bogey avoidance. He’s coming off of a win and a second in his last two starts and he tends to string together solid performances.
The pressure of going for the career grand slam can be a positive or a negative, but we’ve seen Spieth perform on the biggest stage time and time again in his career.
Favorite Longshot: Corey Conners +6600 (BetMGM)
We all know what Conners is known for: his ball striking. He’s been one of the best on TOUR over the last few years. However, very few have noticed that he has put in some serious work with his short game. If we look at the numbers from 2022, he’s 41st in this field in strokes gained around the green. I’m certainly not mistaking him for a scrambling wizard, but that’s a vast improvement from where he’s been most of his career.
Conners tends to play his best on difficult golf courses, and he comes into the week in solid form. He’s gained at least 4.3 strokes tee to green in six straight events. I like the idea of backing this bet up with a top five or a top 10.
Favorite DFS Value: Russell Henley, $7,200 DraftKings / $8,700 FanDuel
For the life of me, I can’t figure out why I am so much higher on Henley than the majority of DFS players this week. Perhaps the ownership projections that I am looking at are off, but I view him as an absolute gem of a play if he garners less than 10% ownership.
Henley isn’t long off the tee, but he’s extremely accurate. He’s one of the best on TOUR when it comes to approach, especially with mid and long irons. His around the green game is solid and he’s made 12 of his last 15 cuts in majors.
I am always around to answer any and all questions. Feel free to shoot me a direct message on Twitter.
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