2022 Shriners Children’s Open Updated Odds & Sleeper Picks: 5 Longshots to Bet, Featuring Matthew NeSmith & K.H. Lee

2022 Shriners Children’s Open Updated Odds & Sleeper Picks: 5 Longshots to Bet, Featuring Matthew NeSmith & K.H. Lee article feature image

Via Raj Mehta/Getty Images. Pictured: Matthew NeSmith of the United States reacts to his putt on the 18th green during the final round of the Sanderson Farms Championship at The Country Club of Jackson on October 02, 2022 in Jackson, Mississippi.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Shriners Children's Open odds via bet365
Player NameOdds
Patrick Cantlay+650
Sungjae Im+1100
Max Homa+1800
Aaron Wise+2000
Tom Kim+2200
Taylor Montgomery+2800
Cameron Davis+3500
Tom Hoge+3500
Alex Noren+4500
Emiliano Grillo+4500
Adam Hadwin+4500
Taylor Pendrith+5000
Brian Harman+5000
J.T. Poston+5000
Si Woo Kim+5000
Keith Mitchell+5500
Denny McCarthy+5500
Gary Woodland+5500
Rickie Fowler+5500
Dean Burmester+6000
Lucas Herbert+6000
Maverick McNealy+6000
Thomas Detry+6000
Seamus Power+6000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+6000
Nick Hardy+6000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+6600
Matthew Nesmith+6600
Kurt Kitayama+7000
Mito Pereira+7000
Matt Kuchar+7500
Justin Suh+8000
Taylor Moore+8000
Jason Day+8000
Mark Hubbard+8000
Russell Knox+8000
Wyndham Clark+9000
Ryan Palmer+9000
Chris Kirk+9000
Andrew Putnam+9000
Troy Merritt+9000
J.J. Spaun+10000
Justin Lower+10000
Patrick Rodgers+10000
Nick Taylor+10000
Byeong-Hun An+11000
Harris English+11000
Aaron Rai+11000
Martin Laird+11000
Stephan Jaeger+11000
James Hahn+11000
Kevin Streelman+12500
Beau Hossler+12500
Robby Shelton+12500
Seonghyeon Kim+12500
Greyson Sigg+12500
Joel Dahmen+12500
Hayden Buckley+12500
Dylan Frittelli+12500
Scott Piercy+12500
Garrick Higgo+12500
Will Gordon+14000
Cameron Champ+14000
Adam Svensson+14000
Callum Tarren+14000
Matt Wallace+14000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Brendon Todd+15000
Carl Yuan+16000
Lee Hodges+16000
Chesson Hadley+16000
Henrik Norlander+16000
Zecheng Dou+17000
Davis Thompson+17000
Stewart Cink+17000
Kevin Yu+17500
MJ Daffue+17500
Christopher Gotterup+17500
Adam Schenk+17500
Harry Hall+17500
Michael Gligic+17500
Charley Hoffman+17500
Paul Haley II+17500
Brandon Wu+17500
Michael Kim+20000
Ryan Armour+20000
Austin Smotherman+20000
David Lipsky+20000
Rory Sabbatini+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Austin Eckroat+22500
Nate Lashley+22500
John Huh+22500
Peter Malnati+22500
Ben Taylor+22500
Doug Ghim+22500
Tyler Duncan+25000
Patton Kizzire+25000
Sam Ryder+25000
Matthias Schwab+25000
Michael Thompson+25000
Ryan Moore+25000
Vincent Norrman+27500
Nicholas Lindheim+27500
Augusto Nunez+30000
Zac Blair+30000
Vincent Whaley+30000
Ben Martin+30000
Erik Barnes+30000
Austin Cook+30000
Ben Griffin+30000
Robert Streb+30000
Kramer Hickok+30000
Brandon Matthews+35000
David Lingmerth+35000
Jimmy Walker+35000
Harrison Endycott+35000
Chad Ramey+40000
Danny Lee+40000
Xuewen Luo+40000
Brent Grant+50000
Philip Knowles+50000
Scott Harrington+50000
Kevin Tway+50000
Andrew Landry+50000
Kyle Stanley+50000
Richy Werenski+60000
Cole Hammer+60000
Nick Watney+60000
Tyson Alexander+75000
Eric Cole+75000
Max McGreevy+75000
Carson Young+75000
Jason Dufner+75000
Patrick Welch+75000
Jim Herman+100000
Spencer Levin+100000
Ryan Brehm+150000
Trevor Werbylo+150000
Jesse Mueller+150000
Derek Deminsky+150000
Ryan Ruffels+150000
Jared Sawada+200000
Quinn Riley+250000

The final fall series on the PGA TOUR as we know it, before major formatting and scheduling changes begin next season, rolls on with the Shriners Children’s Open in Las Vegas.

Patrick Cantlay tees it up as a heavy favorite, with odds as low as +600 at certain books. He’s earned that here in Sin City, where he has finished T8 or better the last four times he’s played this event, including a win and two runner-up finishes.

Those are short odds for any favorite, especially with other notable names like defending champion Sungjae Im, Max Homa, Aaron Wise, and Tom Kim in the field.

For the purposes of this post, however, our eyes are dipping further down the board in search of a sleeper. Longshots have fared well at this venue, with wins by Martin Laird, Rod Pampling, Smylie Kaufman, and Ben Martin in the last decade.

A hungry group of rookies and veterans jockeying for early FedEx Cup points makes for plenty of intriguing dark horses with long odds, particularly these names I like to compete on Sunday:

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Tom Hoge +5000 (DraftKings)

These odds are shorter than the picks I typically feature in this weekly article, yet I couldn’t ignore Hoge at this number. Last season, he elevated himself to new heights. Hoge ranks inside the top 50 in the Official World Golf Rankings after five top 10s in 24 events so far in 2022, which is impressive after he recorded just eight total top 10s in the four-year stretch from 2018 to 2021.

Hoge’s season hit a speed bump with six straight missed cuts between the Charles Schwab Challenge and The Open, yet he rebounded and ended the season 10th at the TOUR Championship, shooting the fifth-best gross score at East Lake to boost his end of season payout.

He started the new season well, finishing T12 in Napa, and has a track record of success here at TPC Summerlin. In three of his last four starts at this course, Hoge has finished T24 or better. Given the way he’s playing, he has value this far down the board.

Rickie Fowler +6600 (BetMGM)

The 2022 FedEx Cup season was mostly a wash for the once-vaunted star, but he showed enough flashes to suggest there will be better days ahead. The Rick-aissance is coming, and this venue would be a perfect host.

Fowler enters hot off a T6 at the Fortinet Championship, his best finish in a full calendar year. He carries that momentum into a course where he has two prior top 10s and two more top 25 finishes.

Rickie hasn’t won on TOUR since 2019, with just one top-three finish during that drought. He already has as many top-20 finishes in the 2023 season (one) as he did in the entire 2022 season. If we’re going to see him bounce back to life at all, maybe he does so in a big way, collecting a win at a course where he’s typically played well.

Bet the Shriners Children's Open risk-free up to $1,000.

Seamus Power +6600 (BetMGM)

The 35-year-old Irishman played the best golf of his career last season. In the 2022 FedEx Cup season, Power finished in the top 25 in 13 of his 27 starts. His Strokes Gained per round was also more than triple his previous best season as a pro.

Unfortunately, he was unable to convert that play into a victory, or even a runner-up finish, peaking with a T3 at the Sony Open.

If he continues to knock on that door, eventually he will break through. Last season in Vegas, Power had his best tournament in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach but couldn’t convert with his putter. If he swings the club that well again, he’ll be in the mix throughout the weekend.

K.H. Lee +6600 (BetMGM)

Entering the fall, Lee was an undervalued member of the PGA TOUR. He won last year at the Byron Nelson and finished the season in style, qualifying for the TOUR Championship with a T20 at FedEx St. Jude and a T5 at the BMW.

He became a little less under the radar as one of the catalysts of the International Team’s feisty push to steal the Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow last month. Lee was one of only three members of his team to end the week with a winning record, even though he only was asked to play three of the five sessions.

The Shriners will be his first start of the 2023 season, and he is hoping to best his T14 finish last year.

Get up to $1,100 back if your Shriners Children's Open bet loses.

Matthew NeSmith +8000 (DraftKings)

You can do plenty of cherry picking with the autumn events on the PGA TOUR, given how up-and-down the fields are from year to year. Cherry-picked or not, only one player can boast a top-20 finish at TPC Summerlin in each of the last three years – Matthew NeSmith.

He’s played 12 rounds at this course in his career and never shot worse than 69, with a round of 65 or better in each of his last three appearances. That should make him an intriguing first-round-leader play, yet he’s playing well enough to think that can last through the weekend.

NeSmith was T9 last week at the Sanderson Farms Championship, where he was third in Strokes Gained: Approach.

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