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2022 Wells Fargo Championship Odds, Picks, DFS Plays: 3 Players to Target at TPC Potomac

2022 Wells Fargo Championship Odds, Picks, DFS Plays: 3 Players to Target at TPC Potomac article feature image
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Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Adam Svensson.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Wells Fargo Championship odds via FanDuel

2022 Wells Fargo Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Rory McIlroy +700
Tony Finau +2000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000
Corey Conners +2000
Tyrrell Hatton +2600
Abraham Ancer +2900
Gary Woodland +3200
Marc Leishman +3200
Patrick Reed +3400
Keegan Bradley +3400
Russell Henley +3400
Paul Casey +3700
Seamus Power +4200
Si Woo Kim +4200
Max Homa +4200
Webb Simpson +4200
Jason Day +4500
Sergio Garcia +4500
Cameron Young +4500
Jhonattan Vegas +5000
Matt Kuchar +5000
Keith Mitchell +5000
Brian Harman +5500
Davis Riley +5500
Aaron Rai +6000
Kevin Streelman +6000
Matt Jones +6000
Doug Ghim +6000
Matthew NeSmith +6000
Brendan Steele +6000
Sepp Straka +6000
Dylan Frittelli +6500
Troy Merritt +6500
Joel Dahmen +6500
Francesco Molinari +6500
Anirban Lahiri +6500
C.T. Pan +6500
Brandon Wu +7500
Denny McCarthy +8000
David Lipsky +8000
Nate Lashley +8000
Russell Knox +8000
Rickie Fowler +8000
Stewart Cink +8000
Cameron Davis +8000
Lanto Griffin +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Alex Smalley +8000
Luke List +8000
Adam Long +9500
Lucas Glover +9500
Beau Hossler +9500
Matthias Schwab +9500
J.T. Poston +10000
Mark Hubbard +11100
Sung-Hoon Kang +11100
Taylor Moore +11100
Chad Ramey +11100
Matthew Wolff +11100
Branden Grace +11100
Adam Svensson +12000
Stephan Jaeger +12000
Ryan Armour +12000
Doc Redman +12000
Austin Smotherman +12000
Martin Laird +12000
Greyson Sigg +12000
Andrew Putnam +12000
Rory Sabbatini +12000
Tyler Duncan +12000
Scott Piercy +13000
Sam Ryder +14000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +14000
Lee Hodges +14000
Zach Johnson +14000
Brian Stuard +14000
Pat Perez +14000
Mackenzie Hughes +14000
Danny Lee +14000
K.H. Lee +14000
Peter Uihlein +16000
Chez Reavie +16000
Charl Schwartzel +16000
Andrew Novak +16000
Kramer Hickok +16000
Adam Schenk +16000
Matt Wallace +17000
Michael Thompson +17000
Nick Taylor +19000
Harry Higgs +19000
Peter Malnati +19000
James Hahn +19000
Chase Seiffert +19000
Kevin Chappell +19000
Hank Lebioda +19000
Joseph Bramlett +19000
Hayden Buckley +19000
Dylan Wu +21000
Luke Donald +21000
Brice Garnett +21000
Cameron Percy +21000
John Huh +21000
Ben Martin +21000
Charley Hoffman +21000
Trey Mullinax +21000
Satoshi Kodaira +21000
Wesley Bryan +25000
Justin Lower +25000
Ben Kohles +28000
Callum Tarren +28000
Bill Haas +28000
Brandon Hagy +28000
Vaughn Taylor +30000
Bo Hoag +32000
Chesson Hadley +32000
Kevin Tway +32000
Jonathan Byrd +32000
Roger Sloan +32000
Paul Barjon +32000
Jim Herman +38000
Martin Trainer +38000
Kelly Kraft +38000
Henrik Norlander +38000
Jacob Bridgeman +38000
Richy Werenski +38000
Nick Watney +38000
Camilo Villegas +38000
Bryson Nimmer +42000
Curtis Thompson +42000
Austin Cook +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Jim Knous +50000
Michael Gligic +50000
David Skinns +50000
Ryan Blaum +50000
Scott Gutschewski +50000
Max McGreevy +50000
Brett Drewitt +50000
Joshua Creel +50000
Seung-Yul Noh +50000
Brandon Matthews +50000
Dawie van der Walt +50000
Johnson Wagner +50000
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra +50000
Bo Van Pelt +100000
William McGirt +100000
Larkin Gross +100000
Gregory Odom +100000
Morgan Hoffmann +100000
Jonas Blixt +100000
Bet the Wells Fargo Championship, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

We had a couple of sweats on Sunday at the Mexico Open, but nobody was catching Jon Rahm. While he was clearly the best golfer in the field and while it felt like it was only a matter of time before he found himself back in the winner’s circle, betting on golf outrights at +350 is not a strategy that is going to work in the long run.

Charles Howell III had a good chance to finish in the top 10, but he had one of his worst putting weeks in the last few years. The one positive was Lanto Griffin, who shot one of the low Sunday rounds to finish in a tie for 15th.

This week, we head to Maryland for the Wells Fargo Championship. Quail Hollow is preparing to host this year’s Presidents Cup, so TPC Potomac at Avenel Farms will host the event this year.

The last time we saw this course on the PGA TOUR was in 2017 and ’18 at the Quicken Loans. The par-70 track has since been lengthened to 7,160 yards. There are only two par fives on the course, and only one will be reachable in two by the majority of the field.

While we don’t have a huge sample size to work with, this course has favored accurate drivers of the ball and those that are precise with their irons. With three long par threes and a number of par fours that measure over 450 yards, we can expect a lot of approach shots to be hit from 175-225 yards. Proximity with long irons is certainly an intriguing stat to look at this week given the small bentgrass green complexes.

The course should favor ball strikers that don’t rely on distance and it’s nice to see that the two winners here in 2017 and ’18 were Kyle Stanley and Francesco Molinari, both of whom are known more for their ball striking than short game.

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Favorite Outright: Corey Conners +2000

If Conners pulls off the win this week, we can officially call this a ball striker’s paradise. Much like Stanley and Molinari, Conners has never been known for his prowess on and around the greens.

With that said, he does deserve some credit. His around the green game has improved in leaps and bounds this season and he’s around average on the greens. He’s top five in this field in good drive percentage, strokes gained ball striking, and greens in regulation. The difficulty of the course and the size of the greens should help highlight his ball-striking skills.

Favorite Top-10: Adam Svensson +2000

I was planning to bet on Svensson before I saw his top-10 odds, so was running to the metaphorical betting counter when I saw he was +2000 on DraftKings. The other major sportsbooks all have this number between +1000 and +1300.

Svensson has struggled with consistency, but has two top 10s in his last 11 TOUR starts. I mentioned the importance of iron play above and in 2022, Svensson is 11th in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach and first in this field in proximity from 175-225 yards.

Favorite DFS Value: Brian Harman $7,700 DraftKings / $9,900 FanDuel

There was a point last season when Harman rated out as the best value play in my model for months straight. He didn’t disappoint either, as he went on a crazy made cut run that featured a ton of top-25 finishes.

After a stretch of bad form to start the year, Harman is finally playing like himself again. He has gained strokes off the tee in six straight events and still has one of the best short games on the PGA TOUR. His irons can be hit or miss, but we should be willing to bet on them at this price point.

The lefty tends to play his best on par-70s and courses that don’t require distance off the tee — like this one.

Good luck!

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