Even at Long Odds, Adam Hadwin Has Little Appeal at U.S. Open

Even at Long Odds, Adam Hadwin Has Little Appeal at U.S. Open article feature image

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Adam Hadwin

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Adam Hadwin

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $9,100 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): MC, N/A, N/A, N/A, T60

Odds: +12,500 to win, +1400 top-10 finish, +600 top-20 finish, -190 to make cut, +135 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1400 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:58 p.m. (Thursday); 8:13 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

I worry about Hadwin not being long enough off the tee for Shinnecock. Earlier in the year, he was really hitting the irons well, and it led him to a sixth-place finish on a driver-heavy course at Riviera. But his game has cooled since, and he hasn’t finished in the top 50 in more than a month. His odds are well into the triple digits, and his price in DFS is pretty low, so if you feel like gambling on him as a longshot then go ahead, but he’s not for me.

The Metrics

Here’s how Hadwin ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T39th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T42nd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 34th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T88th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 28th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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