Don’t Ignore Alexander Noren at Shinnecock


Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Alexander Noren

DFS Pricing: $7,900 DraftKings, $9,700 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, MC, MC, MC

Odds: +6600 to win, +450 top-10 finish, +225 top-20 finish, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +225 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Alex Noren (+105) over Louis Oosthuizen

Tee Times: 1:25 p.m. (Thursday); 7:40 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.

The Outlook

In a U.S. Open, conditions are going to be tough and scoring is going to be high, which makes bogey avoidance that much more critical. This season, Noren has been solid in that regard, ranking 16th in bogey avoidance. Moreover, he’s an excellent ball-striker, ranking 15th in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking. While a premium will be placed on long hitters, golfers who can keep the ball in play shouldn’t be ignored. Noren is an excellent DFS play and someone I’d be willing to back in the betting markets.

The Metrics

Here’s how Noren ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-39th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-36th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 23rd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-65th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 12th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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