Farmers Insurance Open: How to Bet the Second Round

Farmers Insurance Open: How to Bet the Second Round article feature image
Credit:

© Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

The opening round of the Farmers Insurance Open had a little bit of everything.

We saw more flashes that Tiger’s game is coming around, as he fired an even-par 72 on the more difficult South Course. Woods didn’t make a putt outside of 5 feet, but he still has a decent chance to make the cut. And he provided a few fireworks with his iron play.

At the top of the leaderboard, Jon Rahm and Tony Finau have separated from the field as the favorites. Finau leads the tournament after opening with a 7-under 65, and he dropped from 33-1 to +600. He holds a one-stroke lead over Ted Potter Jr. and Ryan Palmer. Rahm remains the favorite, seeing his odds dip from +700 to +400 after shooting 4-under par to open tied for fourth place.

I’m not seeing a whole lot of value at the top of the board right now, but there is one long shot play I’m adding. Emiliano Grillo is at 125-1 on Sportsbook after a round of 2-under 70. Grillo gained the most strokes on the field on the South Course with his irons, but had a rough day with the putter, dropping 2.4 strokes to the field. He’s been an elite ball striker for most of his time on tour, and if he’s dialed in to that extent for three more days, he’s more than capable of climbing the leaderboard.

Tiger Prop

Woods heads to the easier North Course with the over/under of 70.5. The over is the favorite at -165, while the under is at +125. Judging by the ball striking from Thursday, I’d lean under here. Woods gained strokes tee to green, but lost 1.4 strokes with the putter. I always look for those putter stats to turn around, so if he makes anything at all, he’ll have a good chance to make shoot a couple under par.

Woods also has a head-to-head matchup with Charley Hoffman, where Tiger is the -140 favorite. I’d stay away from this at this point. I’m only looking to back Woods at plus numbers until we see some more consistency.

Joshua has spent the last five years writing about sports and the last 10 years betting them, mostly on golf. He’s one of approximately five people who will watch the PGA over the NFL in November. Follow him on Twitter @JoshuaPerry22

 

How would you rate this article?