AT&T Pebble Beach First-Round Matchup Bets: Fade Dustin Johnson?

Feb 07, 2019 10:00 PM EST
Credit:

Dennis Schneidler, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Ernie Els

Round-by-round matchups are going to be a little trickier this week, just because of the three-course rotation and the fact that any momentum gained on a specific track will only lead to a fresh start on a new one the following day.

That doesn’t mean there isn’t value, as we can find plenty of it in the opening round.

Here are my three favorite matchup bets for Day 1 at Pebble:

Season record: 25-36-3, -11.51 units

Sungjae Im over Ernie Els by -0.5 (-155)

I couldn’t figure out this pairing for a while, but then it dawned on me: As the captain of this year’s International team in the Presidents Cup, Els wants to get a look at a kid who could be one of his new stars.

The type of pressure could backfire on Im, but he doesn’t seem the type who gets scared off easily. Instead, I just think the Big Easy’s presence will offer greater motivation – and I expect Im to go low in their opening round at MPCC.