Betting the British Open Final Round: One Longshot Worth a Wager

Credit:

Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rory McIlroy

  • A star-studded British Open leaderboard has created some betting value down the board entering Sunday's final round.
  • Joshua Perry is eyeing a 22-1 longshot who's only a few strokes off the lead.

What a leaderboard we have at Carnoustie.

Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods all are right there with a real chance of claiming a major on Sunday.

Spieth is the favorite at +125 and is in a three-way tie for the lead with the next two players on the odds sheet, Xander Schauffele (+500) and Kevin Kisner (+550).

Meanwhile, Woods is available at +1200, and McIlroy (pictured above) is next in line at +1400. Both have to make up a four-stroke deficit.

With the defending champion Spieth at the top of the leaderboard and poised for a fourth major title, it’s hard to see him slipping up, especially with some of the bigger threats three or four shots back.

But if Spieth does slide back in what’s expected to be a gusty final round with winds in the 20 mph range, there’s a guy I’m looking at who could pick up a breakthrough major title.

Alex Noren (+2200)

Noren is already on my card at +5000, but if I were jumping in for this final round, he’d be the guy I’d fire at from down the board.

Noren is a comeback king on the European Tour. Over the past two years, the wins he’s pulled off have usually come thanks to low Sundays.


Steven Flynn-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Alex Noren

His 2017 BMW PGA Championship win at Wentworth came after a final round 62. In 2016, he closed with a 63 to take down the Nedbank Challenge and won in a playoff at the Omega European Masters following a final round 65 in 2016.

And just three weeks ago, Noren shot rounds of 65 and 67 on the weekend to sneak out a one-shot win on a difficult course at Le Golf National in France.


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Couple his ability to come back with the struggle leaders have had at Carnoustie, and Noren really has some value. In the past two Opens at Car-Nasty, the winners came from six and 10 strokes back entering Sunday to win the title.

Noren is in a massive group that’s four shots back, tied with the likes of McIlroy, Woods, Matt Kuchar, Zach Johnson, Tommy Fleetwood and Webb Simpson.

But this has been the sweet spot for Noren throughout his run in Europe, and if anyone is capable of making the charge Sunday, he’d be my pick.

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