Short Fuse Could Prove Costly for Jon Rahm at Shinnecock

Short Fuse Could Prove Costly for Jon Rahm at Shinnecock article feature image

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jon Rahm

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Jon Rahm

DFS Pricing: $9,500 DraftKings, $11,800 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, N/A, T-23, MC

Odds: +2000 to win, +165 top-10 finish, -110 top-20 finish, -700 to make cut, +400 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Jon Rahm (-110) over Jordan Spieth

Tee Times: 1:14 p.m. (Thursday); 7:29 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Two aspects of Rahm’s performance have raised eyebrows in the short time it has taken this 23-year-old to ascend to a place among the world’s best players. The first is that he’s supremely talented, possessing the necessary skills in all parts of his game to win dozens of titles over the next few decades. The second is that he still lacks some on-course maturity, often throwing temper tantrums when he’s frustrated. No event provokes more frustration than the U.S. Open, which could mean that first aspect of his game will become overshadowed by the second if he catches a few bad breaks at Shinnecock.

The Metrics

Here’s how Rahm ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 7th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 17th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 19th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 62nd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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