Justin Thomas Has One of the Highest Floors in U.S. Open Field

Justin Thomas Has One of the Highest Floors in U.S. Open Field article feature image

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Justin Thomas

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Justin Thomas

DFS Pricing: $11,000 DraftKings, $12,100 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, MC, N/A, T-32, T-9

Odds: +1400 to win, +135 top-10 finish, -165 top-20 finish, -800 to make cut, +500 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1400 to win

Best Matchup Value: Justin Thomas (-105) over Rickie Fowler

Tee Times: 1:47 p.m. (Thursday); 8:02 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Official World Golf Ranking formula notwithstanding, Thomas has been the game’s best player for the past 18 months. Like all elite players, there’s no tourney or course that doesn’t suit his game – and Shinnecock might just suit it better than most. His third-round 63 at Erin Hills last year was mercurial, and while this week should provide a stiffer test, it would be surprising to see the reigning PGA Championship winner out of the mix come Sunday afternoon, considering he’s finished outside the top 25 in a tourney just once since claiming that initial major title.

The Metrics

Here’s how Thomas ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-2nd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-5th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 2nd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 11th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 5th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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