Kyle Stanley Worth a Longshot Bet at U.S. Open


Caylor Arnold-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kyle Stanley

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Kyle Stanley

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): 73, N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A

Odds: +10,000 to win, +800 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +400 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Kyle Stanley (-120) over Jimmy Walker

Tee Times: 1:36 p.m. (Thursday); 7:51 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.

The Outlook

Stanley is reasonably long off the tee (295-yard Long-Term Driving Distance) and accurate (69% Long-Term Driving Accuracy). Further, he’s an excellent ball-striker, hitting 69.6% of greens in regulation (GIR) over the past 75 weeks. Overall, Stanley is one of my favorite longshot bets and DFS plays considering he ranks 22nd in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and 20th in par-4s gained. With the importance of hitting GIR and fairways, it’s difficult not to lay some action on a guy who ranks fourth in fairways gained and fifth in GIR gained on tour this season.

The Metrics

Here’s how Stanley ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-25th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-12th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 53rd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 8th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: T-65th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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