Little Reason to Think Martin Kaymer Can Recapture U.S. Open Magic

Little Reason to Think Martin Kaymer Can Recapture U.S. Open Magic article feature image

May 11, 2018; Ponte Vedra Beach, FL, USA; Martin Kaymer chips to the 18th green during the second round of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Martin Kaymer

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-59, Won, MC, T-37, T-35

Odds: +12,500 to win, +1200 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish, -190 to make cut, +135 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +135 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Martin Kaymer (+105) over Ian Poulter

Tee Times: 1:47 p.m. (Thursday); 8:02 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Just call him The Cicada, because every few years Kaymer dominates our summer. Even so, it feels like a decade since his convincing eight-stroke victory at Pinehurst, when in fact it was just four years ago. Through injuries and poor play, he’s dropped outside the world’s top 100, as his T-8 result at the recent Italian Open was his first top-10 finish since last November. Based on his history, Kaymer could be an interesting bet at a big number, but it’s tough to believe he’ll turn things around so quickly.

The Metrics

Here’s how Kaymer ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-64th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-57th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: N/A
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 78th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: N/A

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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