Matt Jones Offers Little Upside at Shinnecock

Matt Jones Offers Little Upside at Shinnecock article feature image

May 20, 2018; Dallas, TX, USA; Matt Jones points right after hitting a shot on the seventh hole during the final round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament at Trinity Forest Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Matt Jones

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, MC, N/A, N/A, N/A

Odds: +40,000 to win, +3000 top-10 finish, +1400 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +3000 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Matt Jones (-110) over Scott Stallings

Tee Times: 12:30 p.m. (Thursday); 6:45 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Jones has just two PGA Tour wins under his belt, and he doesn’t have much experience in major championships. He withdrew from the U.S. Open in 2009, and in his next appearance in 2014 he missed the cut. Moreover, Jones boasts an awful 70.5 Long-Term Adjusted Round Score over the past 75 weeks, along with ranking 74th in par-4s gained and 76th in bogey avoidance this season. With Jones’ lack of experience in these events and a 37% missed-cut rate over the past 75 weeks, I wouldn’t put any equity into him in the betting or DFS markets.

The Metrics

Here’s how Jones ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-78th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-36th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 47th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 22nd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 73rd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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