Why Shinnecock Doesn’t Set Up Well for Pat Perez

Jun 11, 2018 7:17 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Pat Perez

DFS Pricing: $7,100 DraftKings, $8,700 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, MC

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1800 top-10 finish, +700 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +1800 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Pat Perez (-130) over Brian Gay

Tee Times: 1:36 p.m. (Thursday); 7:51 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

The 42-year-old missed the cut at last year’s U.S. Open, which was his first appearance since 2008. Perez has solid long-term metrics, ranking 25th in the field in Long-Term Adjusted Round Score, but Shinnecock just doesn’t set up well for Pat, whose biggest strength is accuracy off the tee. That’s not as big of a deal this week in the widened fairways, and he’ll be giving up a ton of ground to the long hitters. He’s typically a nice DFS value as a cut-maker, but I’ll likely be fading him this week considering the course concerns.


The Metrics

Here’s how Perez ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-25th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 66th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 63rd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-91st
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 65th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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