For analysis of the top-85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Rory McIlroy

DFS Pricing: $11,500 DraftKings, $11,700 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T41, T23, T9, MC, MC

Odds: +1200 to win, +120 top-10 finish, -175 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +1200 to win

Best Matchup Value: Rory McIlroy (-105) over Rickie Fowler

Tee Times: 8:02 a.m. (Thursday); 1:47 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Rory is one of about a half-dozen guys who could be listed as the favorite or co-favorite depending on the book you use. He was my pick at the Masters, and early on Sunday he had as good of a chance as anyone to don the green jacket. But I won’t be going back to the McIlroy well. Since his hot putting display at Bay Hill, he’s lost strokes on the greens in his past three events. With the putter still out of sorts, it’s tough to justify a bet in the +1200 range. Like many guys at the top, I’d advise a wait-and-see approach; and if he falls behind early, there may be a chance to bet him during the course of play.


The Metrics

Here’s how McIlroy ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T8th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T15th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 18th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 6th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 32nd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports