Don’t Count on Sergio Garcia at the U.S. Open

Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Sergio Garcia

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Sergio Garcia

DFS Pricing: $8,700 DraftKings, $10,400 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-45, T-35, T-18, T-5, T-21

Odds: +5000 to win, +450 top-10 finish, +200 top-20 finish, -300 to make cut, +225 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +225 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Sergio Garcia (+130) over Patrick Reed

Tee Times: 1:14 p.m. (Thursday); 7:29 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook


Other than a two-week stretch in Mexico City and then at the Valspar, Garcia has been shockingly absent from any PGA Tour leaderboard this year. He is playing some of the worst golf of his career of late, missing the cut in four of his past five events. The only cut he made was a 70th-place finish at The Players. The U.S. Open has a way of exploiting any weakness that a player may have, and it looks as though Sergio is firing on very few cylinders right now. Shinnecock is not a place where you go to find your game, as it is one of the most relentless courses in the world. Look for Sergio to be a nonfactor this week. He’s an enticing short for anyone looking to take the other side of his matchups.


The Metrics

Here’s how Garcia ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 20th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-87th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 22nd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 37th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 11th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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