Tiger Will Win Soon, But Don’t Bank on it at Shinnecock

Tiger Will Win Soon, But Don’t Bank on it at Shinnecock article feature image

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tiger Woods

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Tiger Woods

DFS Pricing: $9,200 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-32, N/A, MC, N/A, N/A

Odds: +1600 to win, +165 top-10 finish, +100 top-20 finish, +350 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +350 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Tiger Woods (+110) over Jordan Spieth

Tee Times: 1:47 p.m. (Thursday); 8:02 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Tiger is still trying to find a way to piece everything together. One week it seems like he’s stuffing every iron shot to five feet and missing the putts. The next, he’s hitting the ball all over but scrambling and draining putts to stay afloat. At some point this year, he’s going to sync everything up and win, but I just don’t know if the U.S. Open is the place. Shinnecock will force him to hit a lot of drivers, and that’s been the most inconsistent club in his bag. Can Tiger win? Of course. But with his price, I’d just want to see everything come together coming into the week, like we have with a guy like Justin Rose, rather than placing the bet and hoping it all clicks.

The Metrics

Here’s how Woods ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-33rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-12th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 6th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 30th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 3rd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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