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Tuesday Sharp Report: Pro Players Eyeing Two Dogs, One Total

May 15, 2018 5:28 PM EDT

Wiseguys have been on an absolute tear of late. Last night they swept the board, highlighted by an epic +203 hit with the Detroit Tigers. Since Friday, they’ve gone 11-1 with their plays, good for more than +12.75 units.

The first month of the season was a struggle for the Goodfellas, with public favorites cashing at a historic rate. But professionals knew they just had to stick to the model and ride it out. Regression was coming. And boy has it come.

 

In the month of April, dogs getting fewer than 40% bets went 89-137 (39.4%), -6.2 units. So far in May, they’ve gone 55-49 (52.9%), +31.6 units.

After analyzing Monday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05 p.m. and 10:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 2:25 p.m. ET

New York Yankees – Washington Nationals Under 8.5

7:05 p.m. ET

Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Bryce Harper all on the same field. Dingers galore! Over all day, right? Currently 71% of bets are on the Over, but 68% of dollars are on the Under. Sharps have been crushing the Under all day, triggering four steam and reverse line moves at four different books (Under 9 at 5Dimes and CRIS, Under 8.5 at Pinnacle and Carib). This overload of sharp action has dropped the total from 9 to 8.5 across the market. The Under 8.5 is also being juiced up to -115, indicating it may fall even further. This Under is also a match for the profitable Bet Labs system Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams (+171.6 units since 2005).

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Credit:

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Josh Appelbaum on Twitter
@Josh_Insights

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