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Lo Duca: Will Another World Series Game Go Over the Total?

Lo Duca: Will Another World Series Game Go Over the Total? article feature image

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Rick Porcello, Walker Buehler

Betting odds: Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Red Sox moneyline: +140
  • Dodgers moneyline: -155
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (-105/-115)
  • First pitch: 8:09 p.m. ET
  • Channel: FOX

>> All odds as of 2 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets

Game 3 of the World Series shifts to Los Angeles, where the Dodgers will look to avoid falling into an 0-3 hole against the Red Sox.

Walker Buehler will be tasked with keeping Los Angeles in this series while Rick Porcello will get the nod for Boston.

On the surface, this game looks like a good bet to go over. The Red Sox are firing on all cylinders, and the Dodgers will be able to load up with lefties against Porcello. It’s not surprising to see that nearly three of every four bets are coming in on the Over 7.5.

Boston has built its 2-0 series lead through timely hitting and superb bullpen work. That has been the theme all postseason for the Red Sox, as Alex Cora’s men are slashing .415/.564/.756 with two outs and runners in scoring position.

That isn’t sustainable, and at some point those numbers should creep back toward earth.

Buehler has the stuff to absolutely dominate a lineup and I expect him to be on his game. His numbers at Chavez Ravine are dirty. In 74.2 innings at Dodger Stadium the Lexington, Ky. native has logged a 1.93 ERA and .228 wOBA against.

The 24-year-old right-hander will also have the luxury of facing a Red Sox lineup that will be slightly weaker thanks to the series shifting to a National League ballpark.

On the other side, Porcello has the right formula to keep this thing tight. Porcello does a great job of throwing first-pitch strikes (66.6%), and that should keep the Dodgers off balance and let him work his magic.

I think Buehler and Porcello will get us through the first part of this game without much damage. From there, I trust the bullpens to get under bettors to the window.

The Bet: Under 7.5 

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