Gaels vs. Huskies Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023
Gaels at Huskies
8:48 pm • TBSGaels at Huskies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gaels 17-17 | +9.5-110 | o141-110 | +350 | |
 Huskies 23-10 | -9.5-110 | u141-110 | -450 | |
MVP ArenaAlbany
Gaels vs. Huskies Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 62-64-3 (+43.2u)
CONN -6.5 (Live)-114
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (-0.4u)
CONN -6.5 (2H)-110
1u
couple more bounces and calls go uconns way they are up 10 rn
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 92-82-4 (+9.2u)
IONA u30.5 (1H)-124
1u
Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CONN -9.5-110
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 37-25-3 (+15.9u)
CONN -9.5-105
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Joseph u13.5 Pts-102
1u
Averaging 15 ppg this season, but I’ll still fade him on a lower line. Brutal matchup against a UConn team that shuts down the paint. In the big east, they’ve held Crosswell x2, Kalkbrenner, Dixon, Ighodaro x2 more than a bucket under their ppg average over the last 6 weeks.
It’s a tough matchup for Iona’s guards too, but both Clayton and Jenkins will get their volume, and their midrange games likely will be Iona’s best chance at scoring.
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 20-17-0 (+1.3u)
N.Joseph u9.5 Rebs+100
1u
NJJ has relied on offensive boards to clear this number at a high rate. However, he’s facing a UConn team that not only does a good job of preventing off reb, but they send teams to the line at one of the highest rates in the country. Both factors could limit the number of off reb NJJ gets here. It’ll also be tougher for him to secure def reb considering UConn is a good shooting team, turn the ball over at a higher rate, and have the highest off reb rate in the country. Projecting this closer to 9 with a 58% chance of staying under 9.5. Getting this at +100 is nice
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 118-158-3 (+4.4u)
CONN -5 (1H)-115
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 92-82-4 (+9.2u)
CONN -8.5-110
0.91u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (-0.4u)
CONN -9-110
1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 10-47-0 (-6.5u)
B.JeanLouis u0.5 3pt M-125
1.25u
At DK: How can I not bet on this prop, at least for some fun. While this isn't the biggest edge of the game (see my Shema bet for that), it's still a 12.3% edge. Plus the dude's got a great name. Unfortunately for him, Berrick JeanLouis has only made 15 threes in 30 full games this year. That was with Iona averaging 76.1 points in those games. Their implied team total against UConn is just 66.25. It gets worse. UConn is #3 in the nation in percentage of points scored against them from downtown, allowing just 22.8% of all points to come via 3 vs. a 30.8% national average. I'm projecting BJL for 0.4 threes made, with a 67.9% chance of being held to no threes. Gotta love betting on a shutout prop!
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 40-40-0 (-5.9u)
IONA +9.5-110
1.1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 10-47-0 (-6.5u)
O.Shema u8.5 Pts-130
1u
At DK: Given out on BBOC https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1yNGaNmejmRJj
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Jenkins u1.5 3pt M-131
1u
Projection - 1.0: For more, check out BettingPros.
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 242-283-4 (-33.2u)
CONN -9-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 64-108-0 (-8.2u)
CONN -9-110
0.18u
Via @wheatonbrando
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 77-157-0 (+38.6u)
CONN -9-110
0.45u
MAAC 6-11 ATS outside of St Peter’s run, Iona 0-11 in tourney. Gaels will get destroyed on glass by #1 oreb UConn. Pitino may already have one foot out the door. Line rising grab now
https://medium.com/sportsraid/march-madness-2023-perfect-bracket-ncaa-history-purdue-kansas-alabama-houston-duke-ucla-texas-uconn-9cd5ddfea2e
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CONN -4.5 (1H)-118
0.59u
Gaels vs. Huskies Previews & Analysis
Gaels vs. Huskies Notes
Bracket Predictions
Entering the Championship, Connecticut has effectively no chance to make the Final Four. (Sorry, Connecticut fans.)
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 4 seeds like Connecticut are 63-17 against No. 13 seeds like Iona in the First Round (78.8% win rate, breakeven moneyline -371).
No. 13 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 42-37-1 ATS (53.1% cover rate, average spread +8.8).
The No. 4 vs. No. 13 matchup has gone under the full game total 54.4% of the time (43-36-1, average over/under line 138.5).
No. 4 Connecticut has played in 13 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 32-10 straight up and 25-16-1 against the spread in 42 total games.
No. 13 Iona has played in eight of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 0-8 straight up and 2-6 against the spread in eight total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Gaels vs. Huskies Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Huskies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Huskies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Huskies are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Huskies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Huskies' 19 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Gaels vs. Huskies Injury Updates
Gaels Injuries
Huskies Injuries
- Liam McNeeleyF
McNeeley is probable with ankle
Probable
Team Stats
Gaels vs. Huskies Odds Comparison
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Gaels at Huskies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Gaels 17-17 | N/A | N/A |
Huskies 23-10 | N/A | N/A |