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2022 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Preseason Predictions With Projected Spreads

2022 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Preseason Predictions With Projected Spreads article feature image
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Will Navarro/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: The Rose Bowl.

2022 College Football Bowl Projections

Only six days — or five more sleeps — until the college football season officially begins when Austin Peay visits Western Kentucky Saturday at noon ET.

Thirty minutes later, the big boys kick it off. Big Ten rivals Northwestern and Nebraska open league play in that legendary Big Ten hub of Dublin, Ireland. Surprised the Big Ten is playing in Europe? Don’t be. Sources told me the Big Ten is expanding overseas, adding Rome Tech, University of Central Frankfurt (the original UCF), London State and Paris A&M in the very near future.

Speaking of the future — how’s that for a segue? — I’ll predict what’s ahead with my annual bowl projections. As my long-time fan knows, each week I project all 42 bowls. And it’s absolutely free!

Last season, my final projections on Selection Sunday were remarkably 92% accurate. Unfortunately, my preseason bowl projections are closer to 9.2% accurate, so please hold off on making those travel plans just yet.

The past couple of years have been tricky, because not only do I have to project which teams will play in the bowl, but which bowls actually will be played. It’s a tough gig, but someone’s got to do it.

Onto the projections. Each matchup includes the projected point spread based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.

Updated 2022 College Football Betting Power Ratings

CFP National Championship Prediction

  • CFP National Championship

    Monday, Jan. 9
    Los Angeles, CA

    Alabama

    -1

    Ohio State


College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Atlanta, GA

    Alabama

    -16.5

    Miami

  • Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Glendale, AZ

    Ohio State

    -8.5

    Georgia


New Year’s Six Bowl Games

  • Rose Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Pasadena, CA

    Michigan

    Utah

    -3
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl*

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Arlington, TX

    Penn State

    -6.5

    Houston

  • Allstate Sugar Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    New Orleans, LA

    Baylor

    Texas A&M

    -14.5
  • Capital One Orange Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Miami, FL

    NC State

    -7

    Wisconsin


Projections for All Other Bowls

  • Citrus Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Orlando, FL

    Michigan State

    Arkansas

    -4.5
  • ReliaQuest Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Tampa, FL

    Notre Dame

    -7.5

    Kentucky

  • Music City Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Nashville, TN

    Iowa

    -2

    Ole Miss

  • Arizona Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Tucson, AZ

    Eastern Michigan

    Fresno State

    -9
  • TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Jacksonville, FL

    Clemson

    -8.5

    LSU

  • Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    El Paso, TX

    North Carolina

    -5

    UCLA

  • Duke’s Mayo Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Charlotte, NC

    Florida State

    -8

    Purdue

  • Valero Alamo Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    San Antonio, TX

    Oklahoma

    -4.5

    USC

  • Cheez-It Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Orlando, FL

    Pitt

    -9

    Oklahoma State

  • Pinstripe Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Bronx, NY

    Virginia Tech

    Nebraska

    -3
  • TaxAct Texas Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Houston, TX

    TCU

    Mississippi State

    -2.5
  • Holiday Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    San Diego, CA

    Wake Forest

    -1.5

    Oregon State

  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Memphis, TN

    Texas

    -6

    Florida

  • Military Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Annapolis, MD

    Virginia

    UCF

    -1
  • Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Phoenix, AZ

    Maryland

    Kansas State

    -3
  • Camellia Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Montgomery, AL

    Toledo

    -5

    Liberty

  • Birmingham Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Birmingham, AL

    South Carolina

    BYU

    -17.5
  • First Responder Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Dallas, TX

    Syracuse

    PK

    Iowa State

    PK
  • Quick Lane Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 26
    Detroit, MI

    Northwestern

    -6

    Central Michigan

  • EasyPost Hawai’i Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 24
    Honolulu, HI

    San Diego State

    UAB

    -3
  • Gasparilla Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Tampa, FL

    Auburn

    Louisville

    -3
  • Independence Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Shreveport, LA

    Army

    Tulane

    -9
  • Armed Forces Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 22
    Fort Worth, TX

    Marshall

    SMU

    -5
  • New Orleans Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 21
    New Orleans, LA

    Middle Tennessee

    Appalachian State

    -12
  • Boca Raton Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boca Raton, FL

    Memphis

    Boise State

    -4.5
  • Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boise, ID

    Miami (OH)

    -4.5

    Utah State

  • Myrtle Beach Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 19
    Conway, SC

    Coastal Carolina

    East Carolina

    -3.5
  • Frisco Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Frisco, TX

    Minnesota

    Arizona State

    -1
  • Las Vegas Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Las Vegas, NV

    Tennessee

    Oregon

    -6.5
  • LendingTree Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Mobile, AL

    Western Michigan

    Louisiana

    -9.5
  • Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Los Angeles, CA

    Washington

    -7.5

    Air Force

  • New Mexico Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Albuquerque, NM

    San Jose State

    -13.5

    UTSA

  • Wasabi Fenway Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Boston, MA

    Boston College

    Cincinnati

    -15.5
  • Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16
    Orlando, FL

    Troy

    -5.5

    North Texas

  • Bahamas Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16
    Nassau, Bahamas

    Florida Atlantic

    Northern Illinois

    -3.5
  • TBA Bowl**

    TBD
    TBD

    Georgia State

    -8

    UTEP


* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**ESPN will create a bowl this fall to replace the San Francisco Bowl if it is not played.

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