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Stuckey, Locky, Wilson: College Football Week 5 Moneyline Underdogs to Bet

Sep 29, 2018 7:35 AM EDT
  • Don't forget about the underdogs when finalizing your Week 5 college football bets. Four double-digit dogs won outright last week.
  • Three of our college football experts -- plus a bonus contributor -- give their best moneyline underdog bets for Week 5.

Each week, we will each give out our favorite moneyline underdog on the college football Saturday slate. You can play them straight, throw them in a longshot parlay or just read our reasoning for additional insight.

Two will always be provided by Stuckey and Collin on The Action Network Colleges podcast — and college football contributor Locky Lockerson will provide the other. This week, we have a bonus contributor as Peter Jennings gives his three favorite Saturday moneyline underdogs at the end of this piece.

We went 0-3 last weekend, which will happen with these from time to time. Let’s get into our Week 5 moneylines, starting with Georgia State. If you feel like really rolling the dice, a moneyline parlay of all three pays close to 45-1.

YTD: 4-8 -1.55 units


>> Check out Sports Insights’ Bet Signals to track sharp action for college football’s entire Week 5 slate.


Ken Barkley: Georgia State +220

  • Spread: UL Monroe -7
  • Over/Under: 62
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+

Sun Belt conference openers happen Saturday for a lot of teams, so why not celebrate this bastion of dicey-ness by selecting only the choicest cut of awful?

Georgia State hasn’t covered a number this month. After barely getting by FCS Kennesaw State to open the year, the Panthers have gotten wrecked by just about everyone — N.C. State, Memphis, Western Michigan, you name it. It sure sounds like rock bottom to me from a power ratings perspective.

Meanwhile, UL-Monroe hasn’t done much to earn any confidence. Its offense was expected to be dynamic, but has been pedestrian; a defense that was expected to be awful has been just that at 111th in S&P+. 

I think everyone just keeps waiting for the offense to wake up, and maybe better days are ahead for the Warhawks, but this number is all out of whack.

Georgia State closed +9 at Pinnacle at home against Western Michigan last week, and now stays at home, and is getting almost the same number of points from Monroe? Western Michigan has significantly more talent than UL Monroe (although both are pretty poorly coached). This line is simply too much of an overreaction to Georgia State’s recent results.

Gimme Georgia State in a game that should be lined closer to +4.

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Credit:

Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Georgia State head coach Shawn Elliott

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