Stuckey & Wilson: College Football Week 4 Moneyline Underdog Picks
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chase Jasmin
- Don't forget to sprinkle some moneyline underdogs into your college footballs picks for Week 4.
- Our college football experts give their two favorite moneyline underdog bets for Saturday.
As we do each week on the Action Network Colleges Podcast, Collin Wilson and I pick our two favorite moneyline underdogs on Saturday’s college football slate.
I let us down last week with Akron and can’t apologize enough for trusting the lowly Zips on the road. Luckily, Collin came through for a third straight week with Temple — thanks to an amazing goal line stand late in the game.
For Week 4, I refuse to back the MAC and instead am going with one of my favorite teams in the country to back. It feels so much better than Akron. My game kicks off mid-afternoon, while Collin is trying to keep is streak going with a late night special.
If you’re feeling lucky, a moneyline parlay of both pays out over 5-1.
2018: 16-28 +3.95 units
2019: 3-3 +2.70 units
Stuckey: Louisiana +140 (at Ohio)
- Spread: Ohio -3
- Over/Under: 67.5
- Location: Athens, OH
- Time: 2 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN+
This bet is all about Louisiana’s explosive rushing attack and Ohio’s inability to stop it.
Louisiana returned five senior starting offensive linemen this seaon to block for potentially the best running back group among all Group of 5 schools. Raymond Calais, Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell combined for more than 2900 yards on the ground at a ridiculous 6.7 yards per carry last season.
And those three are right back at it again this year. ULL ranks third in the nation with an 8.1 average yards per rush. Ragas and Calais are each averaging more than 11.5 yards per carry this season.
They should run wild against an Ohio defense that has struggled immensely against the run. The Bobcats have allowed 5.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks 114th nationally.
Last week, Marshall ran for more than 300 yards and Ohio couldn’t stop the Herd from churning out yards on the game-clinching drive when they knew the run was coming.
Ohio also has a respectable rushing attack that should find success against a subpar Louisiana defense but it’s just nowhere as explosive.
Just like last year, ULL continues to not get enough respect in the betting market. I think the Ragin’ Cajuns win this game and move to 4-0 ATS.
Wilson: San Diego State +155 (vs. Utah State)
- Spread: Utah State -4
- Over/Under: 54.5
- Location: San Diego, CA
- Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
San Diego State finally found some points after the disastrous 6-0 victory over Weber State to open the season. The Aztecs found a way to get 727 combined yards against UCLA and New Mexico State in victories.
The offense is making progress, which is a great sign for a team that already has a stout defense.
Rocky Long’s defense sits at No. 5 in our havoc ratings, which could play a part in this late night Mountain West scrum. Long said this week that the only way to stop dynamic Utah State quarterback Josh Love is to apply pressure, which I expect him to bring throughout.
This game boils down to my belief that the Aztecs defensive line can win the battle of the trenches against Utah State’s offensive line. Utah State is still bringing in an entire offensive line after losing 115 career starts in the offseason.
Only two players on the offensive line logged decent snaps in 2018. Look for the Aztecs to pin their ears back in the 3-3-5 defense against Love, causing more havoc and a few turnovers to get this home.