College Football PrizePicks: Week 6 Plays for Jonathon Brooks, Brady Cook & Mason Taylor (Oct. 7)
Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images. Pictured: Missouri quarterback Brady Cook.
Our hot streak ended last week with a pregame scratch and a last-minute injury to our two quarterbacks. Luckily, Brock Bowers did cash in a late, game-winning touchdown to avoid a 0-for performance.
This week, we turn to three plays for two games — one SEC battle and one soon-to-be SEC rivalry.
Week 6 College Football PrizePicks
In the table below, you'll find each of our college football staff's top PrizePicks plays from Saturday's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | PrizePicks Play |
|---|---|
| 12 p.m. | |
| 12 p.m. | |
| 12 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Oklahoma vs. Texas
When Texas is beating the brakes off of teams, Jonathon Brooks eats.
It's plain and simple.
In three consecutive blowouts against Kansas, Baylor, and Wyoming, Brooks averaged 20 carries for 162 yards per game.
But his carries seem to drop in closer affairs. Take the Alabama game, where Brooks saw only 12 carries for 64 yards.
From a game flow perspective, I believe this will be a four-quarter battle, and there could be stretches where UT plays from behind.
That means more snaps for CJ Baxter, a slightly better receiving option than Brooks.
The OU defense is also playing at an elite level, particularly against the run. The Sooners are eighth nationally in PPA per Rush allowed, allowing only 3.15 yards per carry (29th).
Brooks is undoubtedly talented, as is the offensive line blocking in front of him, but my model indicates that this square is inflated by seven to 10 yards.
I would play this down to 95.5 yards.
Pick: Brooks Less Than 98.5 Rushing yards (Play to 95.5)
LSU vs. Missouri
Mizzou hasn’t featured an explosive passing attack since Drew Lock left campus. Even then, Lock was known for carving up lesser opponents and shrinking in big games.
Brady Cook started his current hot streak against the defending Big XII champs, throwing for 356 yards and a pair of scores against Kansas State.
In total, he’s thrown for 11 scores with no interceptions. He’s averaging 364 passing yards per game in the past three games.
I believe the market has begun to shrink the value on Cook overs, but not to the point where I’d back off a square like this. Not with the LSU pass defense on deck.
The Bayou Bengals are 83rd in Pass Success Rate allowed and a ghastly 121st in Pass Explosiveness allowed. LSU has already surrendered seven pass plays of 40+ yards, tied for worst in the SEC.
The implied score of this game between these two SEC opponents is LSU 35, Mizzou 30. I agree with that barn-burner prediction and believe Cook is in line for upwards of 40 pass attempts in this one.
I would play this square up to 282.5.
Pick: Cook More Than 273.5 Passing Yards (Play to 282.5)
LSU vs. Mississippi State
I have one more for the Tiger Tussle.
Mason Taylor is one of Jayden Daniels' favorite targets. Not only did he catch the game-winning two-point conversion to beat Alabama in overtime last fall, but he remains a target hog, at least by traditional tight end standards. He's recorded target totals of four, four and five in three games against FBS competition this year, resulting in yardage outputs of 39, 33 and 61, respectively.
The best comp for Taylor is Kansas State’s Ben Sinnott, who was targeted eight times against Mizzou last month, reeling in five for 78 yards and a pair of scores.
Even Middle Tennessee State’s tight end Jeremy Tate Jr. found room to operate against the Missouri pass defense. The Group of Five tight end caught four passes for 43 yards.
Ultimately, Mizzou will be laser-focused on slowing Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. in this game, which should open up the flats and middle of the field for Taylor to operate.
Pick: Taylor More Than 34.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 37.5)
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