Penn State-Kentucky Betting Guide: Points At a Premium in 2019 Citrus Bowl

Jan 01, 2019 07:57 AM EST
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Trace McSorley and Josh Allen

2019 Citrus Bowl Betting Odds: Penn State-Kentucky

  • Odds: Penn State -6.5
  • Over/Under: 47
  • Date: Tuesday, Jan. 1
  • Location: Orlando, Fla.
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: ABC

>> All odds as of Monday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time bowl odds and win probabilities on your bets


Penn State didn’t quite live up to its New Year’s Six dreams after losing three games during the regular season, while Kentucky had arguably its best campaign in two decades behind a stellar defense that rivaled the SEC’s best.

Will the Wildcats be able to move the ball on an underrated Penn State defense, or can the Nittany Lions hold up?

Odds Moves for Penn State-Kentucky

By Danny Donahue

Penn State has picked up 70% of bets and 80% of dollars against the Wildcats, driving its line from -4 to -6.5.

As for the total, bettors have been relatively split, with 51% taking the under. That percentage has accounted for 68% of money, however, dropping this number from 48 to 47 (see live betting data here).

Coaching Edge, ATS

By Stuckey

This game features a huge coaching disparity in terms of against the spread performance. In our database (back to 2005):

Mark Stoops: 30-44-0 (40.5%) -21.3% ROI, -$1,573
James Franklin: 59-41-4 (59%) 14.9% ROI, +$1,552

Only Doug Martin (NMSU) has lost bettors more money than Stoops among active coaches, while Franklin ranks among the five most profitable active coaches.

By Evan Abrams

Not only is their a coaching disparity, but James Franklin knows how to cover bowl games. This will be Franklin’s eighth bowl game and he is 5-2 against the spread, covering by 3.4 PPG. In Franklin’s two ATS losses, his teams lost the game by just a touchdown in both spots.