Week 4 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Predictions With Projected Spreads
Donald Page/Getty Images. Pictured: The Tennessee Volunteers.
Week 4 College Football Bowl Projections
It’s been an unprecedented time for the Sun Belt. Just last week, the league enjoyed the best week in conference history with two road wins over top-10 opponents and a first-ever visit by College GameDay at Appalachian State.
Recently, the league received even more good news. Because the Sun Belt added four new schools this season and Conference USA lost three members, the Sun Belt will receive an additional bowl tie-in this year, sources told Action Network.
The Sun Belt, now with 14 members, could get six bids, instead of five, while C-USA, now down to 11 members, will drop from seven bowl bids to six, sources said. These bowl tie-ins do not include if either conference earns the Group of Five’s New Year’s Six bowl bid.
With the Sun Belt’s additional bowl tie-in, here’s how the 84 bowl bids will be divided by conference (if each league has the required number of bowl-eligible teams to fill those bowls). These would be the minimum number of bowl bids by conference:
- SEC, 10
- ACC/Notre Dame, 10
- Big Ten, 9
- Pac-12, 8
- Big 12, 7
- AAC, 7
- C-USA, 6
- MAC, 6
- Mountain West, 6
- Sun Belt, 6.
That’s 75 bowl bids guaranteed for the 10 conferences.
Add in the four playoff spots, a New Year’s Six at-large spot, an Orange Bowl berth for either the SEC, Big Ten or Notre Dame, plus the Group of Five’s New Year’s Six bid, and that’s 82 total bids.
The final two? BYU and Army are guaranteed a bowl bid by ESPN to fill out the 84-team dance card.
Now that you know how the sausage is made, onto the sausage (this week’s projections). As always, each matchup includes the projected point spread based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
New Year’s Six Bowl Games
Projections for All Other Bowls
* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.
**ESPN will create a bowl this fall to replace the San Francisco Bowl if it is not played.