Patriots vs. Jets Picks To Bet: How We’re Betting This Week 2 NFL Spread On Sunday
Patrick McDermott/Getty Images. Pictured: Zach Wilson.
Patriots vs. Jets Odds
|Patriots Odds||-6 (-110)|
|Jets Odds||+6 (-110)|
|Moneyline||-255 / +205|
|Time||1 p.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.|
Patriots vs. Jets Picks
Chris Raybon: The Jets ran only 60 plays and averaged a putrid 4.2 yards per play against Carolina in Week 1, so even though they’re coming home to New Jersey, I expect them to struggle even more against a Patriots defense that’s a step up in class. I also think Bill Belichick will play it smart knowing he doesn’t have to light up the scoreboard to beat the Jets. The Patriots are coming off a low-scoring, 17-16 loss to Miami in which they led for fewer than three minutes of total game time.
Tthe Jets suffered a massive blow to an offensive line that gave up six sacks last week, losing left tackle Mekhi Becton (knee) for 4-6 weeks.
Dating back to 2016, Patriots unders at 27-13 on the road, according to our Action Labs data:
Patriots-Jets has gone under in 4-of-5 matchups over that span.
Pick: Under 43 (to 41)
Click the arrow to read Raybon’s DFS analysis
The Patriots allowed only eight combined receptions on 15 targets to Dolphins wide receivers, so I’m selling high on Corey Davis and not jumping the gun on Elijah Moore, especially with Jamison Crowder (COVID-19) and Keelan Cole (knee) returning. Barring a massive breakout from Zach Wilson against the Patriots (extremely unlikely against a Belichick defense), I’m off Jets receivers until Week 4 against the Titans, as the Broncos are up next in Week 3 for Gang Green.
Ty Johnson emerged as the leader of the committee backfield as I suspected, but this backfield is also a fade until if/when the team improves and the rotation tightens.
Wilson took six sacks last week and is sans Becton, so the Pats are a DST option if you want to pay up.
Damien Harris’ fumble and lack of receiving production takes him out of GPP consideration for me, even as a large favorite. Game script likely won’t favor throwing like it did last week for New England, when Mac Jones had 39 attempts as the Pats barely led, but I still like him as a low-cost option in large fields. This is absolutely a defense a young passer like Jones could break out for an efficient, 3-4 TD line against. I’d look to stack him with Nelson Agholor or Jakobi Meyers, who both ran a route on 95% of the dropbacks last week.
The Jets held Panthers slot receiver Terrace Marshall Jr. to fewer than 30 yards on six targets last week but gave up 7-137-1 combined on 11 targets to perimeter wideouts D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson, so I would lean Agholor, who does more work outside than Meyers days.
- Cash-viable plays: None
- GPP Plays: Mac Jones, Nelson Agholor, Jakobi Meyers, Pats DST