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Best Week 9 NFL Player Props: Marvin Jones Should Dominate for Detroit, More

Nov 04, 2018 8:50 AM EST
Credit:

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Detroit Lions wide receiver Marvin Jones (11).

  • There are four player props offering betting value on Sunday's main slate for Week 8.
  • Lions receiver Marvin Jones has a favorable matchup against the Vikings, after the Golden Tate trade.

With six teams on a bye and several key players questionable, it’s not a week for the feint of heart.

I’ll outline some of my favorite plays for the week here, but as we get a better picture of who’s healthy and who’s not, we’ll be adding more picks on Twitter. 

Last week was good to us. We went 26-4-1 over at Bet the Prop, and 7-0 in our article picks for The Action Network.

Here are the records on the year:


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Lions WR Marvin Jones

Over 64.5 (-115 @ 5 Dimes)

A great spot for Marvin Jones just got better with reports that Vikings cornerback Xavier Rhodes, a familiar shadow for Jones, suffered a setback with his high ankle sprain on Friday.

Rhodes is a game-time decision, opening up the prospect of elevated efficiency to go along with expanded opportunity for Jones.

  • Golden Tate was dominating looks with 27% target share compared to 18% for Jones, and Tate’s departure opens up 9.9 targets per game.
  • Jones was already leading the team with a 36% market share of Air Yards, and he’ll certainly see some of Tate’s 64 Air Yards per game.

Given Jones’ game-breaking ability, even the tiniest uptick in targets could make a huge difference to his bottom line.

He shredded Minnesota for 109 yards on six receptions last year, and this figures to be another a high-paced affair.

I believe this line should be closer to 70 yards, and I’d freely play up to that number.

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