Best Week 17 NFL Prop Bets: Believe in David Johnson’s Receiving

Best Week 17 NFL Prop Bets: Believe in David Johnson’s Receiving article feature image

Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Arizona Cardinals running back David Johnson (31).

  • There are three player props offering betting value on Sunday's main slate for Week 17.
  • This piece will focus on RB David Johnson, Bills WR Robert Foster and Raiders QB Derek Carr.

The final week of the regular season poses a unique challenge for prop bettors — matters of motivation and player usage will be fluid from one minute to the next, making projections a tricky task.

For that reason, there are considerably fewer lines being offered by sports books this week. So while there are still a few great Week 17 prop bets to attack, it’s not a week for betting volume.

Between our main slate picks and a Sunday Night sweep, we went 4-1 in Week 16, missing out on a perfect week only when Demaryius Thomas went down.

It’s been a phenomenal regular season run for both the Fantasy Labs Props Tool and our Bet the Prop article picks.

Cardinals RB David Johnson

Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-115 @ 5 Dimes)

In their 15 games, the Seahawks have allowed 20 or more receiving yards to 17 different running backs. That includes the likes of LeGarrette Blount, Jordan Howard, and Kyle Juszczyk. Johnson himself doubled this line when these teams met in Week 4.

A weakness in general, the Seahawks have been particularly vulnerable to receiving running backs of late.

  • Since Week 10, they’ve given up 87.6 receiving yards per game to opposing backs.
  • On the season, they rank second last in that category with 60 per game.

The Seahawks’ slow pace and dominant possession numbers are concerns here. However, the Cardinals are 12-point road underdogs, setting up a spot where Johnson’s absolute floor is five targets.

With Sean Koerner projecting 27 yards on 3.5 receptions, this is one of the best bets in the props tool. I’d play the number to 24.5, and I’m likely playing the over on 2.5 receptions (-135) as well. 

Bills WR Robert Foster

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Action Newsletter
Sign Up >
The top betting news and picks for all the big games delivered directly to your inbox daily.
Action Podcasts
Listen >
The award-winning Action Network Podcast covers all angles of betting and DFS from industry-leading pros.
Betting 101
Bet Smarter >
New to betting? No sweat. Check out our betting education hub, which ranges from beginner tips to advanced strategies.
Sports Betting Legalization
Predictions >
When will sports betting be legal in your state? Check our our projections for all 50 states.
Betting Calculators
Try Now >
Easily calculate your winnings for straight bets and parlays using American, Decimal, or Fractional odds.
Expert Picks
Best Bets >
See all of the bets Action Network experts are making in real-time, covering the big games and the hidden gems.

Top Stories