NFL Props

NFL Expert Prop Bets

WAS
2-5-1
NYG
5-2-1
9 picks
1:15 AM
Amazon Prime Video
HOU
3-5
CLE
5-4
1 pick
6:00 PM
FOX
CAR
3-5
NO
3-5
1 pick
6:00 PM
FOX
SF
7-1
DAL
4-5
1 pick
9:25 PM
FOX
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 61-62-1 (+7.5u)
I have Under 17.5 around 63%, with a median closer to 15 yards. Even if this drops to 16.5, I’d still have the under around 58% and would lean Under 15.5. There are a handful of reasons I’m lower on Diggs tomorrow that I’ll get into more in my TNF game guide, but with rain/wind potentially impacting the game I wanted to lock this in early. Not because I’m personally expecting weather to have a huge impact, but I know the market will react and props could drift down for once instead of the usual 99% of action pushing everything up lol. The Giants have been excellent against slot WRs, allowing the 2nd-lowest yards per route run, and Diggs lines up there around 65% of the time. They also use press coverage at the 2nd-highest rate. Diggs goes from 1.64 YPRR and a 9.5 aDOT when not pressed to 1.40 YPRR and a 4.5 aDOT when pressed. He runs outs/hitches at one of the highest rates in the league, so I could easily see him catching a handful of passes here. That’s why I’m not very interested in fading his receptions. The better angle is fading the yardage/explosive play. He’s only had 3 catches all year clear 17.5 yards. Two came in the final minute while trailing with no timeouts against prevent-like defenses, and the other was a 20-yard TD against Dallas. I prefer longest reception under because it isolates the part of his profile I want to fade, but receiving yards under is totally fine too if that’s all you have access to. I’ll be betting that market as well. It’s also a good pivot if this longest reception line moves a couple yards while his receiving yards prop stays put. This isn’t the greatest bet of all time, but it’s a good example of why I’m rarely betting a number in a vacuum. There are a ton of underlying factors I like here, and even after a pretty significant move I’d still be showing more value than I am on most props in this game after going through every single one with a fine-toothed comb.
117
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 27-47-0 (-18.6u)
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.9u)
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 14-11-1 (+1.2u)
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
5
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 32-98-1 (-8.7u)
Analysis to come
3
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 20-22-1 (+4.6u)
There is a value opportunity on Austin Ekeler's rush attempts prop. THE BLITZ is projecting 10.66 rush attempts for him with a 71% chance that he exceeds 7.5 rush attempts. If you can get the over at -110 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -162. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
39
samuelsfarley
samuelsfarley
Last 30d: 24-17-0 (+11.2u)
Daniels rushed for over 100 yards against the Giants in W5, and they've allowed the second most rushing yardage to opposing QBs this season.
10
samuelsfarley
samuelsfarley
Last 30d: 24-17-0 (+11.2u)
Williams has ran a route on 84% of dropbacks since McLaurin got sidelined, with 6.5 targets per game. Expect some positive regression in his yardage numbers.
9
PRO
NFL Prop Projections
PlayerPickPROOddsEdge
W.Marks Image
Houston Texans Logo
Rush Att
11/15 6:00 pm
HOU @ CLE
Under
Rush Att
13.50
u17.5-120
31.5%
D.Lock Image
Seattle Seahawks Logo
Rush Yds
11/15 9:05 pm
SEA @ LV
Rush Yds
K.Mitchell Image
Los Angeles Chargers Logo
Rush Yds
11/17 1:15 am
LAC @ BAL
Rush Yds

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Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Action Network offers your go-to hub for NFL prop bets.

Our NFL prop experts ranging from Markus Markets to John Lanfranca deliver the best picks to help you get an edge on your prop bets.

Additionally, we compare NFL prop odds from different sportsbooks so you can find the best value.

We also produce NFL prop model projections and compare them against posted lines, helping you find even more value.

What Is an NFL Prop?

Proposition bets, more commonly known as prop bets, are wagers that are placed on side outcomes that do not necessarily directly affect the outcome of the game. Some examples of NFL prop bets are a player’s over/under in rushing yards for a given game or season or an over/under on how much a team will score in a game.

Most Common NFL Player Props

At some of the best sportsbooks (check out our FanDuel Promo Code, DraftKings Promo Code, and theScore Bet Promo Code) bettors can make picks on various NFL prop bets.

Some of the most common NFL player prop markets that you can wager on for season-long outcomes and week-to-week throughout the season include anytime touchdown props, passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, first touchdown scorer, touchdown passes, and receptions.

What to Consider Before Placing NFL Prop Bets

Before diving into the best NFL prop bets, you must set aside an appropriate bankroll and, ultimately, bet well within your means and responsibly.

Next, you want to make sure you do plenty of research. There is so much content, information, and analytic insight that you can dive into regarding specific matchups and trends that can help make you a winning bettor.

And finally, make sure to have fun! As long as you are betting within your means, betting on NFL player props should be for entertainment purposes first and foremost.

If you can't use sportsbooks to place NFL prop bets, consider trying prediction markets. These federally regulated exchanges list event contracts tied to NFL props and offer NFL prediction market promos to boost your bankroll.

Want More?

Aside from our NFL prop bets hub, we have plenty of resources available to you, such as NFL Odds, NFL Futures, NFL Picks, and NFL ATS Standings. 

How Our Tools Work

At Action Network Pro, users can create sports betting edges using our tool. Just toggle the “All Props” drop-down menu, and you’ll find a list of +EV (plus expected value) NFL player props using our tool.

As a sports bettor, the objective is to create a positive expected value, a probability gap between a bettor’s line and a sportsbook. For example, our Action Pros may set a line of -180 versus a price of -110, commonly found at major online sportsbooks. This would create a 22.74% edge!

At Action Pro, using our tool, we’ll designate the best price depending on whichever player prop menu you want to use, and we’ll compare that price versus our own to see if there is any edge you can take advantage of!

NFL Player Props FAQs
Where can I bet NFL player props?
Almost every major American sportsbook offers NFL player props, though some have more than others.
What kind of NFL props do sportsbooks offer?
Examples of NFL player props include: player to score a touchdown, player to score the game's first TD, over/under receiving yards or passing yards, longest completion over/under a pre-determined amount, player to score 2+ TDs, etc.
Are NFL props a good bet?
It depends on the bet, of course. But NFL player props are often a more exploitable market than sides and totals, which have higher limits and are more efficient.