Texans vs Steelers Odds & Live Scores - January 12, 2026

Texans at Steelers

1:15 am • ABC/ESPN

Houston Texans

2-4

30 - 6

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texans 2-4	-3	-3-105	o38.5-105	-155
Steelers 4-2	u39.5	+3-115	u38.5-115	+130

Tuesday 1:15 a.m.

January 13, 2026

Acrisure StadiumPittsburgh

Under 38.5-105

0.95u

PIT +3-110

1.1u

PIT +144

0.7u

PIT +3.5-110

0.22u

PIT +120 (1H)

0.2u

PIT +135 (Live)

0.35u

Over 37.5-115

0.58u

No higher than 38

J.Warren u13.5 Rush Att-127

0.5u

Warren has numerous factors that cap his ceiling in this specific market tonight. The Steelers are 3-point home dogs, which projects them to trail around a 10% higher rate than their season average, potentially lowering their overall rushing volume. Kenneth Gainwell also tends to see an increase in playing time in trailing game scripts, and using both backs in the passing game could be a more efficient version, or extension, of the run game against a stingy Texans defense. Not only does Gainwell mix in a ton, but we’ve also seen them give Jonnu Smith 1–2 designed rush attempts per game, and in short-yardage situations use Connor Heyward in their version of the tush push. That’s another sneaky reason why I like fading Warren in this specific market, since he’s not going to rack up many cheap rush attempts in short-yardage situations. I’m projecting him closer to 12.4 carries with around a 62% chance to stay under. If and when they move this down to 12.5 (probably shortly after I lock this in), I still think there’s enough downside in this market to feel good about taking under 12.5 at anything better than roughly -120.

D.Stingley u2.5 Tackles + Ast+113

0.57u

Stingley has become one of the premier shutdown corners in the league, which naturally limits his upside when it comes to racking up tackles and explains why his prop is so low here. He’s only been involved in a tackle on 4.4% of pass plays, which ranks 126th out of 127 among qualified corners and mostly highlights just how elite he’s been in coverage. Think of this prop as “rooting for” Stingley to continue being elite in coverage and for Aaron Rodgers to avoid throwing his way for most of the game. He’s also rarely involved in run defense, as he’s only recorded a tackle on 1.9% of run plays faced, which ranks 110th out of 113 qualified CBs. He’s essentially out there to shut down opposing WRs and let his teammates handle the dirty work of tackling ball carriers. He’s also been pretty sensitive to strength of schedule when it comes to how offenses rank in tackle opportunities for CBs, and the Steelers have offered the 2nd lowest rate in the league. Stingley has faced six teams that rank in the top half of the league in tackle opportunities for CBs and has cleared this in four of those games, a 67% over rate. However, in the nine matchups against teams that rank in the bottom half of the league, he’s only cleared it twice, a 22% over rate. The Steelers project as his toughest matchup yet. His previous toughest matchup was against the Ravens in Week 5, who rank last in tackle opportunities for CBs, the only team lower than Pittsburgh, and he finished that game with just one tackle. I’m projecting him closer to 2.2 tackles with around a 60% chance to stay under 2.5, and I love the fact that we’re getting this at plus money.

PIT +3.5-115

1.15u

Ringer Gambling Monday

HOU -3-115

0.5u

J.Noel u12.5 Rec Yds-115

0.5u

P.Freiermuth u3.5 Recs+105

0.5u

K.Gainwell u4.5 Recs+115

0.49u

A.Rodgers o0.5 Rush Yds+115

0.43u

Under 7.5 (1Q)-140

$1.00

HOU -3+100

$1.00

N.Collins o4.5 Recs-140

$1.40

P.Freiermuth u34.5 Rec Yds-114

HOU -3-115

0.87u

HOU -3+100

0.25u

HOU -3+105

0.26u

PIT +3.5-115

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C.Stroud o226.5 Pass Yds-106

PIT +130

Over 38-110

2.2u

Under 38.5-110

PIT +140

HOU -3+100

K.Gainwell o30.5 Rec Yds-112

1.12u

W.Marks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180

1.8u

J.Warren u53.5 Rush Yds-113

PIT u17.5-108

D.Schultz o4.5 Recs-115

1.15u

HOU -3-120

0.83u

PIT +3-115

1.15u

K.Gainwell o5.5 Recs+110

0.5u

N.Collins o67.5 Rec Yds-103

1.03u

PIT +3-110

1.1u

N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

P.Freiermuth Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425

0.5u

C.Stroud o224.5 Pass Yds-112

0.5u

#Tailing @nick_giffen

A.Al-Shaair o7.5 Tackles + Ast-133

1.33u

PIT u17.5-108

HOU -3-110

HOU -2.5-128

0.78u

Just betting on the better team

C.Stroud o226.5 Pass Yds-108

Action Island

HOU o20.5+104

0.26u

Listed under HOU Texans alt team total

HOU o23.5+172

0.17u

🪜

HOU o29.5+460

0.23u

🪜

HOU o34.5+1200

0.05u

🪜

HOU o37.5+1700

0.05u

🪜

J.Warren u13.5 Rush Att-127

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

HOU -3+100

0.5u

Action Instagram channel best bet - let’s ride 🚀

K.Gainwell o5.5 Recs+114

0.88u

@BKPicks https://myaction.app/CzsNa2JJLZb

P.Freiermuth Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425

0.24u

@KendraMiddleton_ https://myaction.app/CzsNa2JJLZb

PIT +3-118

1.18u

@KendraMiddleton_ https://myaction.app/CzsNa2JJLZb

A.Rodgers o181.5 Pass Yds (Live)-130

1.01u

C.Austin o11.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

PIT +130 (1H)

D.Metcalf Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

0.5u

P.Freiermuth First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1600

0.1u

A.Rodgers o33.5 Pass Att-102

1.02u

W.Marks o55.5 Rush Yds-115

1.5u

K.Gainwell u4.5 Recs+120

1.2u

Over 38.5-105

PIT +3-110

1.25u

A.Rodgers u0.5 Rush Yds+105

$105.00

PIT +3-108

$108.00

N.Collins o68.5 Rec Yds-115

J.Noel u1.5 Recs-140

0.71u

VIP got these odds earlier in the week, would not play the bump down

Over 38-110

1.1u

PIT +3-110

N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.5u

@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/KJ7tSgG1MZb

W.Marks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180

0.9u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/KJ7tSgG1MZb

P.Freiermuth Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.5u

@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/KJ7tSgG1MZb

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NFL Public Betting

Steelers are 0-1 in their last 5 games.
Steelers are 0-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Steelers are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Steelers' last 1 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Steelers' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Steelers	0-1	0-1	1-2	3-1	0-1
Texans	1-1	0-3	1-1	1-0	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Steelers	0-1	0-1	2-1	3-1	0-1
Texans	1-1	2-1	1-1	0-1	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Steelers	0-1	N/A	1-2	3-1	0-1
Texans	1-1	0-3	N/A	1-0	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 5th	BAL	W 26-24	+4.5 W	O 41.5	PIT +187
Dec 28th	@CLE	L 6-13	-3.5 L	U 34.5	CLE -205
Dec 21st	@DET	W 29-24	+7.5 W	O 52.5	PIT +330
Dec 16th	MIA	W 28-15	-3.5 W	U 43.5	PIT -185
Dec 7th	@BAL	W 27-22	+5.5 W	O 43.5	PIT +225

DK Metcalf
WR
Metcalf is questionable with illness
Questionable

Michael Pittman
WR
Pittman is out with foot
Out
Rico Dowdle
RB
Dowdle is questionable with knee
Questionable
Ben Skowronek
WR
Skowronek is out with calf
Out
Roman Wilson
WR
Wilson is out with finger
Out

David Montgomery
RB
Montgomery is out with groin
Out
British Brooks
RB
Brooks is out with hamstring
Out

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Texans

Total

Steelers

408

Total Yards

175

Total Plays

6.2

Yards Per Play

3.1

Texans

Passing

Steelers

250

YDS

148

21/32

Comps/Atts

18/34

6.971

YPA

2.947

1/1

TDs/INTs

0/1

3/6

Sacks/Yards

4/36

Texans

Rushing

Steelers

164

Rush Yards

Attempts

5.29

YPC

3.5

TDs

Texans

Turnovers

Steelers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Texans

Efficiency

Steelers

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

0/2 0%

10/15 0%

3rd Down

2/14 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

2/3 0%

Texans

First Downs

Steelers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Texans

Misc

Steelers

6/44

Penalties/Yards

3/24

32:22

Possession

27:38

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MatchupOverUnder
Texans 2-4	N/A	N/A
Steelers 4-2	N/A	N/A

Texans vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Predictions - January 13, 2026

Texans at Steelers

Houston Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers

Texans at Steelers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Texans vs. Steelers Parlay: +130 SGP for Wild Card Round

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Texans vs. Steelers Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Texans vs. Steelers Public Betting Percentages

Texans

Public

Steelers

Bets%

Money%

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Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Steelers vs. Texans Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

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