NFL Playoff Odds, Rankings: Giants’ Chances Jump With Daniel Jones

NFL Playoff Odds, Rankings: Giants’ Chances Jump With Daniel Jones article feature image
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USA Today Sports. Pictured: Daniel Jones

  • We rank all 32 teams' chances of making the NFL playoffs based on our simulations.

It's been a bumpy first three weeks of the season, with league-shifting changes at quarterback and injuries to star players. So what's the postseason outlook heading into Week 4?

We used our Bet Labs model — which simulates the rest of the season 10,000 times — to rank every team's chances of making the playoffs.

We'll dig into the full results below, but first, here are a few takeaways:

  • The Giants' chances have improved from 4.37% heading Daniel Jones' first start to 9.99% after their narrow win over the Buccaneers.
  • The 3-0 Bills and 49ers now have better than a 50% chance to make the playoffs.
  • The Steelers have the best chance among 0-3 teams (10.98%).

Now for the 1-32 rankings.


2019 NFL Playoff Rankings

1. New England Patriots

Chance: 99.31%

2. Kansas City Chiefs

Chance: 95.73%

3. Los Angeles Rams

Chance: 86.64%

4. Baltimore Ravens

Chance: 78.89%

5. Green Bay Packers

Chance: 74.87%

6. Dallas Cowboys

Chance: 71.66%

7. Houston Texans

Chance: 71.35%

8. New Orleans Saints

Chance: 64.5%

9. San Francisco 49ers

Chance: 59.98%

10. Indianapolis Colts

Chance: 58.72%

11. Buffalo Bills

Chance: 53.6%

12. Los Angeles Chargers

Chance: 44.72%

13. Chicago Bears

Chance: 43%

14. Philadelphia Eagles

Chance: 38.8%

15. Cleveland Browns

Chance: 35.54%

16. Minnesota Vikings

Chance: 32.75%

17. Seattle Seahawks

Chance: 31.08%

18. Detroit Lions

Chance: 28.4%

19. Carolina Panthers

Chance: 21.68%

20. Atlanta Falcons

Chance: 21.44%

21. Tennessee Titans

Chance: 20.37%

T-22. Jacksonville Jaguars

Chance: 11.82%

T-22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chance: 11.82%

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

Chance: 10.98%

25. New York Giants

Chance: 9.99%

26. Cincinnati Bengals

Chance: 6.85%

27. Denver Broncos

Chance: 4.85%

28. Oakland Raiders

Chance: 4.07%

29. New York Jets

Chance: 3.15%

30. Washington Redskins

Chance: 1.76%

31. Arizona Cardinals

Chance: 1.63%

32. Miami Dolphins

Chance: 0.05%

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