NFL Playoff Odds, Rankings: Giants’ Chances Jump With Daniel Jones
USA Today Sports. Pictured: Daniel Jones
- We rank all 32 teams' chances of making the NFL playoffs based on our simulations.
It's been a bumpy first three weeks of the season, with league-shifting changes at quarterback and injuries to star players. So what's the postseason outlook heading into Week 4?
We used our Bet Labs model — which simulates the rest of the season 10,000 times — to rank every team's chances of making the playoffs.
We'll dig into the full results below, but first, here are a few takeaways:
- The Giants' chances have improved from 4.37% heading Daniel Jones' first start to 9.99% after their narrow win over the Buccaneers.
- The 3-0 Bills and 49ers now have better than a 50% chance to make the playoffs.
- The Steelers have the best chance among 0-3 teams (10.98%).
Now for the 1-32 rankings.
2019 NFL Playoff Rankings
1. New England Patriots
Chance: 99.31%
2. Kansas City Chiefs
Chance: 95.73%
3. Los Angeles Rams
Chance: 86.64%
4. Baltimore Ravens
Chance: 78.89%
5. Green Bay Packers
Chance: 74.87%
6. Dallas Cowboys
Chance: 71.66%
7. Houston Texans
Chance: 71.35%
8. New Orleans Saints
Chance: 64.5%
9. San Francisco 49ers
Chance: 59.98%
10. Indianapolis Colts
Chance: 58.72%
11. Buffalo Bills
Chance: 53.6%
12. Los Angeles Chargers
Chance: 44.72%
13. Chicago Bears
Chance: 43%
14. Philadelphia Eagles
Chance: 38.8%
15. Cleveland Browns
Chance: 35.54%
16. Minnesota Vikings
Chance: 32.75%
17. Seattle Seahawks
Chance: 31.08%
18. Detroit Lions
Chance: 28.4%
19. Carolina Panthers
Chance: 21.68%
20. Atlanta Falcons
Chance: 21.44%
21. Tennessee Titans
Chance: 20.37%
T-22. Jacksonville Jaguars
Chance: 11.82%
T-22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chance: 11.82%
24. Pittsburgh Steelers
Chance: 10.98%
25. New York Giants
Chance: 9.99%
26. Cincinnati Bengals
Chance: 6.85%
27. Denver Broncos
Chance: 4.85%
28. Oakland Raiders
Chance: 4.07%
29. New York Jets
Chance: 3.15%
30. Washington Redskins
Chance: 1.76%
31. Arizona Cardinals
Chance: 1.63%
32. Miami Dolphins
Chance: 0.05%
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