The modern NFL is all about offense.
It's a score-first NFL in 2025, and today's offenses are so good that even the league's best defenses struggle to keep up.
An offense is more than one person, but an elite quarterback can carry an entire unit. We already ranked this year's QBs, and you'll notice plenty of overlap here in my NFL offense rankings since QB performance makes up over 40% of overall offensive rating, according to Football Outsiders.
But it's not just the quarterbacks.
Skill-position players make all the splashy plays, and offensive lines may be the most important position group on a football team. Plus, an elite offensive coordinator and coaching scheme can elevate an offense to something more than the sum of its parts, less additive and more of a force multiplier effect.
So today, I rank every NFL offense, from 1 to 32. And though these are rankings, think of it more like directional predictions — the closer the team is to either end of the ranks, the more confident I am that they'll end up there.
We'll of course skew pass-heavy in a league where passing is king, and as always, the rankings are in tiers.
Be sure to check out the whole rankings series:
2025 NFL Offense Rankings
| Tier Number | Category |
|---|---|
| Tier 1 | Regular Season Juggernauts |
| Tier 2 | Year-After-Year Production |
| Tier 3 | What the Heck is a Bear Doing in Arlington, Texas? |
| Tier 4 | Top-10 Push If Things Go Right |
| Tier 5 | Can't Make Up My Mind |
| Tier 6 | The AFC Wildcards |
| Tier 7 | Project: Just Be Average |
| Tier 8 | Don't Bother Checking NFL RedZone |
| Tier 9 | No Quarterback, No Hope |
| Betting Takeaways |
Tier 1 — Regular Season Juggernauts
1. Baltimore Ravens
Quarterback: 4 | Skill positions: 3 | Offensive Line: 7 | Offensive Coordinator: 4 | Last Year: 13
Any serious offensive rankings has to start with the Ravens after they lapped the field in DVOA last season in both passing and rushing.
Baltimore has consistently been a top-three rushing attack in the Lamar Jackson era. Now under OC Todd Monken, Jackson has played MVP football and unlocked a hyper-efficient passing game, too.
Last year's questions on the offensive line have been answered, and these might be the best receivers Jackson has thrown to — plus the league's best tight-end duo and, oh yeah, King Derrick Henry.
It's tough to stay at No. 1, but here's how far ahead of the field Baltimore is. I like to imagine ranges of outcome for teams — what if everything breaks right, or what if it all goes wrong? Imagine a world where the receivers regress, the line fades, the tight ends aren't healthy and Jackson takes a half step back in a worse Monken ecosystem.
Even in that world, the Ravens still rank No. 1 in my offensive rankings matrix.
This offense is a wagon.
Tier 2 — Year-After-Year Production
2. Buffalo Bills
Quarterback: 2 | Skill positions: 18 | Offensive Line: 6 | Offensive Coordinator: 8 | Last Year: 5
The Bills have taken on more of a power-run scheme under Joe Brady — that's taken some of the strain off of Josh Allen, who has cut down on sacks and mistakes behind a terrific offensive line that's missed a single game to injury the last two seasons combined.
All that continuity means we know what to expect.
Buffalo has finished top three in Passing DVOA in four of the last five seasons (Allen played hurt all year in the one miss). The Bills have been a top-three offense in three straight seasons.
As long as Josh Allen is healthy, it really has been just that simple.
3. Green Bay Packers
Quarterback: 6 | Skill positions: 12 | Offensive Line: 10 | Offensive Coordinator: 5 | Last Year: 7
You might be surprised to see the Packers ranked so high, but did you know this team ranked top six in Offensive DVOA each of the past two seasons, including top four in passing in both?
That's a wild fact considering the team moved on from an all-time great QB to an unproven Jordan Love during that stretch, even more so when you consider that Love hasn't even played that well in the first half of either season.
Matt LaFleur might really be that good.
LaFleur saved Green Bay's season last September when Love got hurt in the opener, coaxing multiple wins out of an entirely new offense with Malik Willis at quarterback.
The Packers have options up and down the roster. There's no standout star at receiver or tight end, nor even along the offensive line really, but there's a long list of talented options at each spot. Green Bay has depth and versatility, which gives LaFleur's offense a high floor with any number of potential answers.
Could Love play like an MVP? Might Josh Jacobs lead the league in rushing? Could the O-line dominate? Perhaps Tucker Kraft or Jayden Reed or Dontayvion Wicks break out — or maybe rookie WR Matthew Golden?
Think of the Packers like an open-ended straight flush draw. Green Bay just has so many outs to a winning hand.
4. San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback: 18 | Skill positions: 4 | Offensive Line: 15 | Offensive Coordinator: 1 | Last Year: 2
Last fall might have actually been Kyle Shanahan's most impressive work yet. Even with multi-game injuries to Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and Trent Williams — plus a lost season from Christian McCaffrey — the 49ers offense still finished ninth in DVOA.
That's insane, and it shows how ridiculously high the floor is for this offense. And that was with everyone hurt!
With the stars healthy, eventually, the 49ers have as good of weapons as anyone, and the line can hang if Williams is out there.
Reports of San Francisco's death have been greatly exaggerated. This 49ers offense can still be as good as any in the NFL.
5. Kansas City Chiefs
Quarterback: 1 | Skill positions: 16 | Offensive Line: 14 | Offensive Coordinator: 8 | Last Year: 4
No one needs to tell you Patrick Mahomes begets great offense, but it's notable that the Chiefs continue to slide ever so slightly.
This is the lowest I've ranked Kansas City's offense in the Mahomes era.
It's the lowest the playcalling has ranked, and it's the first time the skill players and offensive line are both around league average, and that's even assuming good seasons from rookie LT Josh Simmons and WR Rashee Rice, neither of which are a sure thing.
The Chiefs had finished top three in Offensive DVOA in every Mahomes season til falling to eighth in each of the past two years — that's not nothing.
Kansas City ranks just 13th in offense when I remove QB from the equation. That's one spot ahead of the Colts, for reference.
Mahomes is the floor, the ceiling, and everything in between.
Tier 3 — What the Heck is a Bear Doing in Arlington, Texas?
6. Philadelphia Eagles
Quarterback: 9 | Skill positions: 1 | Offensive Line: 1 | Offensive Coordinator: 21 | Last Year: 10
Did you know that the Super Bowl champion Eagles did not finish in the top quarter of the league in Offensive DVOA in either of the past two seasons?
It's true.
In fact, Philadelphia hasn't finished better than 10th in three of the last four seasons. As dominant as the Eagles' run game is, rushing is far less efficient than passing, so Philly is losing ground by playing so run-heavy. The Eagles' passing game also remains maddeningly inconsistent under Jalen Hurts, who still struggles mightily under pressure.
It's also a top-heavy offense with five stars — Hurts, Saquon Barkley, A.J. Brown, Jordan Mailata and Lane Johnson — the team absolutely cannot afford to lose, and it's an offense with yet another new playcaller as OC Kevin Patullo takes over.
That said, it's pretty hard to argue with the league's best skill players and offensive line, plus a little Tush Push to get you over the line.
7. Minnesota Vikings
Quarterback: 23 | Skill positions: 5 | Offensive Line: 3 | Offensive Coordinator: 7 | Last Year: 23
Kevin O'Connell has received heaps of praise for his playcalling and leadership, and Minnesota's offense is fun to watch and features perhaps the league's best receiver in Justin Jefferson.
So if that's all true, why have the Vikings ranked just 15th, 23rd and 20th in Offensive DVOA the past three seasons — not even league average, really?
Perhaps it's because KOC has done all his magic with Minnesota playing at its floor, with repeated injuries crushing the team at both QB and O-line — don't forget, Sam Darnold wasn't even supposed to be the starter last year! Could this season finally show us O'Connell's ceiling?
Minnesota's offensive line is as talented as any, and the improved RBs and line play could mean a great run game at last.
The Vikings have the No. 2 no-QB offense in my rankings, behind only the Ravens. If J.J. McCarthy can play like a league-average QB, Minnesota should finally be just as good in all the metrics as it looks on the field.
8. Chicago Bears
Quarterback: 17 | Skill positions: 17 | Offensive Line: 4 | Offensive Coordinator: 2 | Last Year: 13
What in the heck is a Bear doing in Arlington, Texas?!
Here's Chicago's Offensive DVOA the last six seasons, starting with last fall:
- 22nd (2024)
- 22nd (2023)
- 25th (2022)
- 25th (2021)
- 26th (2020)
- 25th (2019)
Consistently, persistently subpar and forgettable, right around the fringe of the bottom 10.
And yet here they are in my top eight … what?
Ben Johnson elevated Detroit's offense from 29th to fifth in his very first season at the helm, jumping the passing attack from bottom five to top six in all three of his Lions seasons virtually overnight. But Johnson isn't the only addition to this offense.
The Bears invested heavily on the interior of their offensive line, adding Joe Thuney, Drew Dalman and Jonah Jackson to overhaul the unit. That improvement should open the entire playbook to Johnson, and that should mean elevating guys like rookie TE Colston Loveland and sophomore WR Rome Odunze.
Johnson's play-action-heavy scheme makes life easier on the line, and it should mean a breakout season for last year's No. 1 pick, Caleb Williams.
Just about everyone expects the Bears offense to be better. I'm not sure they realize yet how much better — or just how fast.
9. Cincinnati Bengals
Quarterback: 3 | Skill positions: 9 | Offensive Line: 30 | Offensive Coordinator: 22 | Last Year: 14
It's no surprise finding Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins in the top 10, but why are the Bengals this low?
Believe it or not, Cincinnati has only had two top-10 offenses with Burrow.
That's a testament to the way Cincinnati's coaches have failed to elevate the offense or give it easy buttons, and it also belies just how blah the run game has been and how little protection Burrow has.
The Bengals have one of the worst offensive lines in the league. That severely limits their ceiling, and it makes this offense much more volatile than it has any right to be.
Tier 4 — Top-10 Push If Things Go Right
10. Los Angeles Rams
Quarterback: 14 | Skill positions: 8 | Offensive Line: 18 | Offensive Coordinator: 3 | Last Year: 8
The Rams are impossible to rank until we know if and when QB Matthew Stafford and LT Alaric Jackson will be good to go.
Still, even a year with Jimmy Garoppolo likely leaves the Rams sneaking into the top 10 — that's how great Sean McVay's system is. He's had this offense top 10 in four of the last five seasons — though no better than seventh in any of them.
The ceiling is there for the Rams when Stafford is healthy and dealing. The problem is they only seem to get that for a month a season.
11. Detroit Lions
Quarterback: 19 | Skill positions: 2 | Offensive Line: 8 | Offensive Coordinator: 30 | Last Year: 3
The big question for the Lions offense is just how far they fall without Ben Johnson.
New OC John Morton is mostly an unknown, and it's quite a swing going from a top-three playcaller to bottom three — the sort of thing that has a negative multiplying effect on Jared Goff, Sam LaPorta, the offensive line, etc.
Speaking of the offensive line, Johnson isn't the only major loss.
Don't overlook how important retired C Frank Ragnow was to this unit. Per Nate Tice, Detroit ranked third in Success Rate with Ragnow on the field since 2022 (minus garbage time) but plummeted to bottom 10 without him.
There's too much talent for the offense to bottom out, but the combined losses of Johnson and Ragnow will be painful and knock Detroit out of the top 10 until proven otherwise.
12. Arizona Cardinals
Quarterback: 16 | Skill positions: 15 | Offensive Line: 22 | Offensive Coordinator: 13 | Last Year: 18
The Cardinals offense has been on a steady climb under OC Drew Petzing, from 30th in DVOA to 21st, then 12th.
Last fall's offense was fringe top 10 both passing and running, and the rushing attack has been creative and diverse, a joy to watch as James Conner has blossomed. But was that run game Petzing or now-departed OL coach Klayton Adams?
And can Kyler Murray stay healthy and upright enough to help develop Marvin Harrison Jr. and the rest of Arizona's young receiving corps?
Trey McBride is a star, but questions persist about Murray, his receivers and this offensive line enough to have some doubts.
13. Atlanta Falcons
Quarterback: 25 | Skill positions: 10 | Offensive Line: 9 | Offensive Coordinator: 14 | Last Year: 20
How much do you believe in Michael Penix and OC Zac Robinson?
Atlanta has the offensive line, and it certainly has the weapons in Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts. That alone should provide a floor in the soft NFC South, especially with Robinson returning the run-heavy attack to top five on that side of things last fall.
The ceiling depends on Penix and what Robinson can coax out of this passing offense, though. Penix already has one of the league's best outside-the-numbers downfield arms, but can he find enough accuracy to keep Success Rate up on short stuff and move the sticks?
It's impressive in hindsight just how nicely Atlanta's offensive metrics stacked up, considering the QB mess the Falcons played with all year.
If Penix is ready to break out under Robinson, this could be a shock top-five unit.
Tier 5 — Can't Make Up My Mind
14. Miami Dolphins
Quarterback: 22 | Skill positions: 6 | Offensive Line: 28 | Offensive Coordinator: 6 | Last Year: 1
What in the world do you do with the Dolphins offense?
This unit ranked top seven twice in a row with a burgeoning run game and a constantly evolving Mike McDaniel scheme before the entire bottom fell out last fall. Tua Tagovailoa got hurt, again, and stud LT Terron Armstead retired for good.
This offense can still melt your brain — when it's healthy, early in the season, in good weather, against bad opponents. But top NFL offenses have to be able to do it on a cold, rainy night in Stoke sometimes, and McDaniel simply hasn't been able to find answers when all the conditions aren't right.
The Dolphins have the widest range of outcomes of any NFL offense. They can be as good — or as bad — as anyone on any given Sunday.
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Quarterback: 15 | Skill positions: 7 | Offensive Line: 5 | Offensive Coordinator: 23 | Last Year: 28
It's easy to see a world where the Bucs end up closer to the seventh-best offense and make this ranking look silly.
After all, Tampa Bay ranked exactly in that spot by DVOA last season, and the Bucs have an outstanding offensive line, terrific weapons, a run game at last, and a QB that can play like a top-10 guy when things are cooking.
But last year's Bucs were great under OC Liam Coen, now departed a year after Dave Canales left the same position vacant. I like new OC Josh Grizzard but that is a tremendous brain drain on a team.
The injuries are an even bigger concern. The Bucs can handle life without Chris Godwin for a few weeks, but if stud LT Tristan Wirfs remains out indefinitely, that will have a negative cascading effect on the entire offense.
Wirfs is the best, most important player on this team. I can't believe in this offense until he's ready to go.
16. Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback: 8 | Skill positions: 19 | Offensive Line: 20 | Offensive Coordinator: 31 | Last Year: 9
Dak Prescott has finished with a top-10 DVOA offense in five of six healthy seasons, but he's missed five-plus games in three of the last five years, and he also accomplished most of that with outstanding blocking and a terrific run game.
Dallas's offensive line has faded hard, and the playcalling could be lacking unless Brian Schottenheimer has learned some serious magic since the last time we've seen him in charge.
There are intriguing names on Schotty's staff in Klayton Adams and Ken Dorsey, but Schottenheimer pushing a run-heavy scheme for a team with the league's worst RB room isn't that inspiring.
17. Washington Commanders
Quarterback: 7 | Skill positions: 24 | Offensive Line: 17 | Offensive Coordinator: 18 | Last Year: 32
The Commanders were one of the stories of last season.
Washington entered last fall with the consensus worst offensive line in the league, having finished bottom seven in Offensive DVOA in five of six seasons, and the Commanders were my predicted worst offense.
Oops.
Jayden Daniels was spectacular as a rookie, and OC Kliff Kingsbury found a run game and elevated the line, at least until things faded in the back half of the season.
Add in the mega-outlier fourth-down and late-game execution that buoyed Washington's offense all season and I wonder if last year might have already been the ceiling, even after the additions of Laremy Tunsil and Deebo Samuel.
18. Los Angeles Chargers
Quarterback: 5 | Skill positions: 20 | Offensive Line: 25 | Offensive Coordinator: 26 | Last Year: 22
Justin Herbert finally played like an elite QB last fall, but he's held back by a lack of skill players and an outdated scheme run by OC Greg Roman.
Herbert also has to play the upcoming season without his best blocker LT Rashawn Slater, who is out for the season. Slater is a monster, and his loss downgraded the Chargers from top-10 to bottom-10 in my offensive line rankings.
Look again at the rankings in the Chargers subhead above — it's a serious uphill battle for Herbert.
Tier 6 — The AFC Wildcards
19. Jacksonville Jaguars
Quarterback: 13 | Skill positions: 21 | Offensive Line: 27 | Offensive Coordinator: 12 | Last Year: 19
This ranking would actually be the lowest for the Jaguars offense in four years, a surprise with Liam Coen aboard to call plays.
What can Coen do to elevate Trevor Lawrence at last, especially with Brian Thomas Jr. and rookie Travis Hunter? That's the big question, though a bad offensive line and poor run game won't help.
Jacksonville has plenty of runway and a higher floor than you'd think — and the Jaguars are also the first AFC South team on the list.
20. Houston Texans
Quarterback: 11 | Skill positions: 13 | Offensive Line: 32 | Offensive Coordinator: 21 | Last Year: 17
The Texans have one of the more intriguing offenses to keep an eye on this season.
Houston's offense was really never great even in C.J. Stroud's rookie season (14th in DVOA), but the Texans plummeted to a disappointing 26th last season, bottom quarter of the league both running and passing, before firing Bobby Slowik and turning the offense over to talented — but unproven — OC Nick Caley.
But playcalling wasn't the only problem.
Houston should be healthier, and Stroud will find more consistency in time, but the biggest issue heading into the new season is the Texans have the consensus worst offensive line in the league. Heck, the line was already terrible last year and then Houston let its two best blockers go out the door.
Until the Texans show they have even a passabe line, it's hard to get too excited about the rest of the offense.
21. Las Vegas Raiders
Quarterback: 10 | Skill positions: 22 | Offensive Line: 21 | Offensive Coordinator: 20 | Last Year: 30
The Raiders offense has been in slow decline over the past five seasons before bottoming out last fall under Antonio Pierce, but it's time for a refresh with a real QB in Geno Smith, a huge swing from Zamir White to rookie Ashton Jeanty at RB, and a burgeoning star TE in Brock Bowers.
The receivers are bad, and the line is average on its best day, but even just Geno, Jeanty and Bowers are enough to give Las Vegas a real floor.
But the ceiling has to come from OC Chip Kelly, who is returning to the NFL after crashing out almost a decade ago.
Can Kelly innovate this attack and install the diverse run game he's found so much success with in college?
22. Denver Broncos
Quarterback: 21 | Skill positions: 31 | Offensive Line: 2 | Offensive Coordinator: 9 | Last Year: 26
Sean Payton has found his safe, floor-raising QB in Bo Nix, and this offense has finished right at league average two straight seasons. That's no small feat with the talent on this roster and an into-the-fire rookie QB.
The question now is whether Denver's offense has a next-level ceiling it can hit — I'm unconvinced.
Denver's line is outstanding but the rest of the offensive talent leaves you wanting. The weapons can't do much on their own, and I don't see game-breaking talent in Nix.
Credit Payton for finding an average offense from this group, much like he did with late-career Drew Brees, but average only gets you so far in life.
Tier 7 — Project: Just Be Average
23. New England Patriots
Quarterback: 12 | Skill positions: 25 | Offensive Line: 24 | Offensive Coordinator: 19 | Last Year: 31
For the teams in this tier, an offense around league average would be a success in 2025.
New England invested heavily into its offensive line but started with one of the worst in the league, so there's still a long ways to go there.
Ditto for the Patriots' skill positions, with additions like Stefon Diggs and rookies TreVeyon Henderson and Kyle Williams only able to add so much to a mostly barren cupboard.
All of that provides a more stable floor for the Patriots, along with the return of OC Josh McDaniels, but the whole thing is dependent on sophomore QB Drake Maye taking the next step.
If Maye explodes, you can envision a Washington-type leap — an upgraded line, a retread playcaller with some new tricks and a stud young QB elevating the talent around him.
If not, even average would be a big step in the right direction.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback: 20 | Skill positions: 26 | Offensive Line: 19 | Offensive Coordinator: 28 | Last Year: 21
This ranking is probably unfairly low, but it's tough to see how all the pieces fit together.
Arthur Smith prefers a run-heavy scheme that attacks the middle of the field, but the line and RB room aren't built for that, and that's not exactly Aaron Rodgers' preferred style of play either, nor is it a great fit for DK Metcalf streaking down the sideline.
It doesn't feel like Rodgers is the QB for Smith, nor the one for Metcalf.
Sometimes the whole is less than the sum of the parts.
25. Carolina Panthers
Quarterback: 29 | Skill positions: 29 | Offensive Line: 13 | Offensive Coordinator: 15 | Last Year: 25
The Panthers are a reminder not to confused improved with good.
There's no doubt Carolina's offense is greatly improved under Dave Canales. And there's no doubt Bryce Young looks vastly improved from the unplayable QB he was at the start of his career.
But Young still isn't great, and neither is this offense unless rookie WR Tet McMillan instantly becomes the star this unit is otherwise lacking. A step in the right direction is nice, but a step only gets you so far when you're a mile behind everyone else.
26. Indianapolis Colts
Quarterback: 26 | Skill positions: 14 | Offensive Line: 16 | Offensive Coordinator: 11 | Last Year: 12
Somehow Shane Steichen has kept this offense top 20 in DVOA in each of the past two years — thanks to a reliable run game — but even that could be in question with the offensive line losing two key starters and Jonathan Taylor looking more than a little washed.
But let's be honest, this whole thing depends on the Colts finally ever finding a real QB — and based on what we're seeing from Anthony Richardson and new starter Daniel Jones so far, it sure doesn't look like Indianapolis has its answer.
Tier 8 — Don't Bother Checking NFL RedZone
27. Seattle Seahawks
Quarterback: 28 | Skill positions: 11 | Offensive Line: 31 | Offensive Coordinator: 17 | Last Year: 11
If there's one team in the bottom 10 that could make me look foolish, it might be the Seahawks.
New OC Klint Kubiak looked like the next big thing early last season in New Orleans, and early signs in Seattle look pretty good. If Kubiak can help turn a terrible offensive line into a passable one and give the Seahawks a downhill rushing attack on the backs of Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet, this could really be something.
As it stands, I worry that Sam Darnold operating in a new system behind a porous line spells disaster. Even with a big improvement, this still looks like the worst offense in the NFC West by a long ways.
28. Tennessee Titans
Quarterback: 24 | Skill positions: 32 | Offensive Line: 12 | Offensive Coordinator: 32 | Last Year: 27
The hope here is that Bill Callahan transforms an offensive line Tennessee has highly invested in to something approaching a top-10 unit.
If that happens, the Titans can build a run game and give rookie QB Cam Ward a real shot, despite the worst collection of skill-position talent in the league.
Until then, I can't get too excited when I have so little belief in Brian Callahan or Nick Holz elevating this group.
29. New York Jets
Quarterback: 30 | Skill positions: 27 | Offensive Line: 11 | Offensive Coordinator: 24 | Last Year: 6
I'm weirdly intrigued by the Jets under new OC Tanner Engstrand, a Ben Johnson disciple who may feature the run game behind one of the league's better young offensive lines.
If the Jets ran every down all season with Breece Hall, Braelon Allen and Justin Fields, I might actually believe a little in the floor.
But since Fields actually has to throw the ball sometimes, it's hard to get too far with any ceiling.
Tier 9 — No Quarterback, No Hope
30. New York Giants
Quarterback: 27 | Skill positions: 28 | Offensive Line: 29 | Offensive Coordinator: 25 | Last Year: 29
There's real star talent on the Giants offense in sophomore WR Malik Nabers and LT Andrew Thomas. That's the good news.
The bad news is that both guys consistently struggle to stay healthy, and that Brian Daboll has failed to reach a consistent floor with this team, finishing bottom five each of the past two years in Offensive DVOA.
And then there's the scariest news — New York's offense is almost certainly as good as it'll get all season right now, with Nabers and Thomas healthy and Russell Wilson playing.
Eventually when Wilson is benched for first-round pick Jaxson Dart and he's missing one or both of those guys, this offense could be as bad as any.
31. New Orleans Saints
Quarterback: 32 | Skill positions: 23 | Offensive Line: 25 | Offensive Coordinator: 16 | Last Year: 24
It might feel like the Saints should at least have a little hope for offense with Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave around, but Olave is a huge health risk and Kamara has started to fade.
The truth is that this looks like the worst QB situation in the league with Spencer Rattler and rookie Tyler Shough fighting to be thrown to the wolves.
Kellen Moore has his work cut out for him.
32. Cleveland Browns
Quarterback: 31 | Skill positions: 30 | Offensive Line: 23 | Offensive Coordinator: 27 | Last Year: 15
Cleveland's elite offensive line got old, and its skill players are effectively the guys leftover from everyone else's scrap heap.
The Browns also drafted Dillon Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders and traded for Kenny Pickett and Tyler Huntley, all after trading for and paying Deshaun Watson, only to sign 40-year-old Joe Flacco out of retirement to start on Opening Day.
You know the old saying … if you've got six quarterbacks, you've got no quarterback.
Betting Takeaways
1. Offense wins games.
Not exactly a shocking revelation, but it's notable just how important offense remains.
Last season, the top half of the league in Offensive DVOA all won at least eight games outside of San Francisco and its awful injury luck.
The top-half offenses also comprised almost the entire playoff field, with only Pittsburgh and Houston making the postseason with a bottom-half offense.
If you can't score points, you're cooked.
2. It's a charmed life for AFC defenses.
A whopping 11 of the 16 AFC teams are in the bottom half of my offensive rankings.
That's why the Ravens, Bills and Chiefs look so safe at the top — maybe even the Bengals too, for all their foibles. Those are the only AFC teams in my top four tiers of offense.
That also means the AFC is ripe for a sleeper. Which offense do you believe in?
Drake Maye and the Patriots? Liam Coen's Jaguars? Chip Kelly and the Raiders?
An AFC offense that makes a leap to even average might just be good enough.
3. It's not so easy over in the NFC.
While things look wide open in the AFC, the NFC's offenses are loaded up.
In fact, 12 of my top 17 offenses play in the NFC! In case you forgot, only seven teams make the playoffs.
That means potentially five teams in the NFC alone could finish with an above-average offense and still miss the postseason.
That's not great news for an exciting young offense — like the Bears, Cardinals or Falcons — and it could even portend danger for some of the presumed NFC stalwarts.
With so many good offenses in the NFC, it might come down to health luck and which defenses can separate from the field.
4. A couple NFC teams should be pretty concerned with the offenses in their division.
Speaking of separation, the Seahawks might be facing some.
Seattle ranks 27th among the offenses above, but the rest of the NFC West is at 12th or better. That's a huge mountain to climb, even for a team with as good a defense as the Seahawks.
The Lions don't have as much separation, but they've got real concerns in their own division. With Ben Johnson and Frank Ragnow gone, Detroit slips outside my top 10 offenses — and finishes dead last among NFC North offenses!
That division looks like an absolute dogfight, and Dan Campbell better get his guys ready to rumble.
5. There's plenty of hope in a couple other South divisions.
The NFC South leaves a little hope for the Panthers and Saints, toiling near the bottom of the ranks.
The Falcons and Bucs rank just above average, but they're two of the more volatile offenses with very wide ranges of outcomes, so there's room for a team like Carolina to compete.
It's even more wide open over in the AFC South, where the entire division is ranked 19th or lower.
Jacksonville and Houston led the way at 19th and 20th offensively, but that puts the Colts and Titans firmly in the mix if they can even coax average offense out of their QBs.
