Billy Hurst-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Boston Bruins goaltender Tuukka Rask (40) celebrates with right wing David Pastrnak (88)
- The Boston Bruins are -170 favorites against the St. Louis Blues in Game 7 of the 2019 Stanley Cup Final.
- Using Bet Labs, we analyze how home teams and betting favorites perform in Game 7.
The Boston Bruins won Game 6 of the 2019 Stanley Cup Final against the St. Louis Blues, setting up a winner-take-all Game 7 on Wednesday night.
Boston is a -170 favorite, meaning the betting market expects the Bruins to win Game 7 on home ice.
But what does betting history say about these matchups? Your guess is as good as anyone’s. Data from Bet Labs shows that it is hard to predict Game 7 winners.
Is Home-Ice Advantage Real?
If you have to play a Game 7, you want it at home. With familiar surroundings and a raucous crowd, home ice should be an advantage in the postseason.
At least that’s the commonly held belief. But sleeping in your own bed the night before a do-or-die playoff game isn’t all that it’s cracked up to be.
Since 2005, the home team is 664-546 (54.9%) in all postseason games. That is the exact same win rate as the regular season during that time: 9,192-7,541 (54.9%). Home ice doesn’t create an extra edge in the playoffs and that is evident in Game 7s.
In Game 7s, the home team has gone 31-28 straight up (SU) since 2005. But what about other factors, like momentum and teams favored in these matchups?