2020 Masters DFS Picks and Preview: Pay Up for Rahm, Pivot to Scott at Augusta
Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: Jon Rahm
- The 2020 Masters gets underway on Thursday, Nov. 10 at Augusta National Golf Course in Georgia and it is expected to do huge numbers in both betting and DFS.
- With the increase in popularity, speculators and DFS players will need to consider which studs to pay up for, which players provide good pivot opportunities and which sleepers to roster.
- Matthew Vincenzi tries to answer all those questions below:
The 2020 Masters has finally arrived.
There are plenty of angles and ways to go about piecing together your DFS lineups, so let’s take a look at the best route to go as we head down Magnolia Lane at Augusta National Golf Club:
2020 Masters DFS Breakdown (GPP)
Jon Rahm — ($10,500 DraftKings)
Rahm is my pick to win and where I will be starting my DFS lineups this week. The Spaniard ranks second in this field (past 24 rounds) in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 3rd in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green. Rahm is also an excellent putter on lightning fast greens, and should be able to handle the speed and undulation quite well. I believe he is in a great spot to win his first major championship.
Dustin Johnson — ($10,000 DraftKings)
I have no explanation why Johnson is the fifth highest-priced golfer. The No. 1 player in the world has been fantastic of late and hasn’t finished outside of the top 6 in any of his past six starts. Inexplicably, Johnson is priced below Rory McIlroy, who hasn’t sniffed contention in his past 15 starts. Johnson also loves Augusta, with finishes of second, 10th, fourth and sixth in his past four starts.
Brooks Koepka — ($9,700 DraftKings)
When playing GPP’s (particularly massive contests like the Millionaire Maker), the players you target must have win equity. While Koepka has missed time with an injury and is rather unpredictable at the moment, there is no denying he carries major win equity.
Koepka has gotten progressively better in each of his past four starts at Augusta, culminating with a runner-up finish last year. After a good showing in Houston, putting Brooks in your DFS lineups is a gamble worth taking.
Bubba Watson — ($9,000 DraftKings)
Speaking of win equity, Bubba Watson has plenty. Having already won two green jackets in his career, Watson knows his way around Augusta National. Course history always plays a major factor at the Masters, and you won’t find many golfers who have better course history than the 42-year-old veteran.
He has also been playing some excellent golf and peaking at the right time. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee; second in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green; and, fifth in Strokes Gained: Approach.
Adam Scott — ($8,900 DraftKings)
While Scott hasn’t been in great form of late, I like the ownership pivot that playing Scott will create in GPPs. I don’t anticipate the Aussie being played in many lineups, especially being $100 more expensive than Tony Finau, who may be the most used golfer in the field.
Scott has win equity and to win GPP’s you have to take some chances. Scott also may not be as risky as recent form would indicate having not missed a cut at Augusta in more than 10 years. I would also argue everything Scott does in his career is geared toward giving himself a chance to earn another Masters championship. That said, I expect Scott to get himself in the mix.
Jason Day ($8,400 DraftKings)
Day is another guy who has some great course history at Augusta. With a second- and third-place finish earlier in his career, along with a fifth-place showing last year, Day knows his way around the track.
The reason why Day is great at Masters is due to his putting and sharpness around the greens. With little rough and speedy run off areas around the green, having a strong short game is a must. When Day is playing well, he can get up and down for par as well as anyone on TOUR.
The winner this week will also need to catch a hot putter, which is typically what happens with Day typically at this event. While certainly a very risky play, the potential upside is undeniable.
More Masters Betting Coverage:
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($7,600 DraftKings)
The Englishman has some decent results at Augusta, including a seventh-place finish in 2016. Fitzpatrick excels in three statistical categories crucial to success at Augusta: approach, putting and short game. He ranks 17th in the field in Strokes Gained: Short game; sixth in Strokes Gained: Putting; and, fifth in Strokes Gained: Approach. Currently the 19t- ranked player in the world, Fitzpatrick is priced very reasonably at $7,400.
Lee Westwood ($7,200 DraftKings)
I see a ton of value at the bottom of the 7K range in another Englishman. Westwood has shown he can still compete at Augusta, even though he is very much in the twilight of his career. He has four top-10 finishes in his past six starts at Masters, and has been playing well worldwide as of late.
Westwood has finished in the top 30 in each of his past seven starts prior to last week’s missed cut in Houston. He can also still stripe it off of the tee, ranking 13th in the category in this star-studded field.
I would avoid the 6K range all together. In terms of win equity in GPPs, I don’t see any down here. Roster construction is an important part of DFS, and my approach is to construct rosters that don’t require dipping below 7K.
Zach Johnson ($6,800 DraftKings)
A former winner, Johnson certainly knows his way around the track. His irons have also been pretty solid of late, as he has gained an average of 2.4 strokes on approach per tournament in his past 10 starts.
Victor Perez ($6,600 DraftKings)
A strong player, the Frenchman finished 22nd at the PGA Championship. Perez had a great showing last month at the BMW PGA Championship on the European Tour, finishing in second place. While consistent TOUR players like Corey Conners are safer plays, I like to avoid chalk in the 6k range and take some shots to gain leverage if you have to play golfers down here.