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2020 Masters Odds, Preview and Picks: Bet Phil Mickelson, Jordan Spieth as First-Round Leaders

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Rob Carr/Getty Images. Pictured: Phil Mickelson

  • After a long layoff since last year's tournament, the Masters are finally here.
  • One of the most underrated bets in sports — golf's first-round leader — is up in the air as Thursday approaches.
  • Our golf experts break down who they think could make a run to the top of the leaderboard on Day 1.

The first-round leader (FRL) sweat may be the best kept secret in sports betting.

When else can you cash a 100-1 longshot in just a few hours? Or have that longshot ripped away from you when Bryson DeChambeau or Justin Thomas storms up the leaderboard on Thursday afternoon? Usually you need to wait months for that kind of ecstasy/anguish. But not if you bet FRLs.

Nope, with FRLs you get to experience all the highs and lows of a season-long future in one day. It’s like if MACtion, Darts and the Kentucky Derby had a baby.

Of course it is very hard to win a FRL bet. But that’s not really the point and if you’re not OK with losing way, way more often than you win (seriously, these bets will break your heart into smithereens), perhaps grinding through an NFL Sunday is more your speed.

But if you’re about that action, we’ve got a few players that could provide one hell of a ride at Augusta National on Thursday.

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Jason Sobel

Jordan Spieth (+5000)

Yes … seriously. I’m a big believer in horses for courses, but I’m an even bigger believer in thoroughbreds for a course called Augusta National, where certain players have been known to get their groove back as soon as they make that right-hand turn onto Magnolia Lane.

Now, don’t get me wrong: I don’t think Spieth can win this week. I don’t even think he’s going to contend. I do, however, know that he’s been FRL at this tournament in three of the last five years – he shot a Thursday 64 in 2015, 66 in 2016 and another 66 in 2018. That’s not a coincidence. Even though Spieth is far from playing his best golf right now – and even though he hasn’t broken 70 in five opening rounds this season and hasn’t bested 73 in four of those – he’s shown some glimmers of hope.

I wouldn’t exactly bet the house on him posting the low score in the opener this week, but at his current inflated price, I at least think there’s a chance it could happen.

[Bet Jordan Spieth at BetMGM and get an INSTANT $500 deposit match.]

Chris Murphy

Phil Mickelson (+6600)

You want a headline? How about Phil Mickelson leading after Round 1 of the 2020 Masters? It sounds crazy ,but look at his results for the last three Thursday rounds at Augusta National:

  • 2019: -5, 2nd Place
  • 2018: -2, T11
  • 2017: -1, T4

We know Lefty loves this place and it’s clear he consistently comes out playing well on this course. We also know he will take plenty of chances hitting bombs and flop shots all over the grounds, which could certainly all come together over 18 holes and my goodness, what a story it would be.

[Bet Phil Mickelson at BetMGM and get an INSTANT $500 deposit match.]

Matthew Vincenzi

Hideki Matsuyama (+3300)

It seemed like Hideki found something with his irons in Houston last week where he gained 3.4 strokes on approach in the fourth round alone. When targeting first-round leader bets you want to look for golfers who can get hot and go low; and that’s what Matsuyama does.

Deki has made seven cuts in his past eight starts at Augusta including a fifth, seventh and eleventh in consecutive years from 2015-2017. One of the better iron players on TOUR, the Japanese star has the right type of game to compete at The Masters.

While I believe he can win this week, his track record suggests he has a better shot to lead after the first round than the last.

[Bet Hideki Matsuyama at BetMGM and get an INSTANT $500 deposit match.]

First-Round Leader Odds


Odds via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

Player Odds
Dustin Johnson +1400
Bryson DeChambeau +1400
Jon Rahm +2000
Rory McIlroy +2200
Xander Schauffele +2200
Justin Thomas +2200
Brooks Koepka +2500
Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Patrick Cantlay +3300
Jason Day +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Hideki Matsuyama +3300
Collin Morikawa +3300
Patrick Reed +3300
Webb Simpson +3300
Matthew Wolff +3300
Adam Scott +4000
Bubba Watson +4000
Tiger Woods +4000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +4500
Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Justin Rose +4500
Scottie Scheffler +4500
Rickie Fowler +4500
Louis Oosthuizen +4500
Jordan Spieth +5000
Paul Casey +6000
Shane Lowry +6000
Cameron Smith +6000
Abraham Ancer +6600
Cameron Champ +6600
Jason Kokrak +6600
Phil Mickelson +6600
Sungjae Im +6600
Lee Westwood +6600
Byeong Hun An +6600
Corey Conners +8000
Zach Johnson +8000
Kevin Kisner +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Francesco Molinari +8000
Kevin Na +8000
Ian Poulter +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Erik van Rooyen +8000
Lanto Griffin +9000
Billy Horschel +9000
Charles Howell III +9000
Sebastian Munoz +9000
Victor Perez +9000
J.T. Poston +9000
Brandt Snedeker +9000
Henrik Stenson +9000
Brendon Todd +9000
Matt Wallace +9000
Gary Woodland +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +10000
Dylan Frittelli +10000
Adam Hadwin +10000
Max Homa +10000
Marc Leishman +10000
Charl Schwartzel +10000
Bernd Wiesberger +10000
Danny Willett +10000
Lucas Glover +12500
Justin Harding +12500
Bernhard Langer +12500
Nate Lashley +12500
Graeme McDowell +12500
Chez Reavie +12500
C.T. Pan +15000
Tyler Duncan +15000
Shugo Imahira +15000
Andrew Landry +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000
Sung Kang +15000
Jimmy Walker +15000
Fred Couples +20000
Jazz Janewattananond +20000
Nick Taylor +20000
John Augenstein +25000
Andy Ogletree +25000
Vijay Singh +25000
Abel Gallegos +35000
Trevor Immelman +35000
Lukas Michel +35000
Jose Maria Olazábal +35000
James Sugrue +35000
Mike Weir +35000
Yuxin Lin +50000
Sandy Lyle +50000
Larry Mize +50000
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