The 2020 FedEx Cup Playoffs get underway this week with the 2020 Northern Trust at TPC Boston in Norton, Mass.
Bryson DeChambeau is the favorite at +1100 but things are quite bunched at the top of the board with Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Jason Day and Xander Schauffele all listed at 20-1 or lower at DraftKings.
It's hard to imagine a winner coming from down the board in a field like this, so our golf analysts are focused on the big guns for their favorite outright bets this week:
Jason Sobel
Jason Day (+2300, $10 bet wins $230)
He’s baaaaack. It wasn’t so long ago that we were right to wonder whether Day would ever return to the world-class status for which he’d established himself years ago. From last year’s Masters to this year’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, he didn’t post a single top-five, a span of 14 starts.
In his past four, though, he’s finished 4th-6th-4th-7th, suggesting his first victory in nearly two-and-a-half years could be right around the corner.
While he’s never won at TPC Boston, he does own a second, a third and a total of eight top-25s in 11 starts. Just a few months ago, it would’ve been a surprise to see the former world No. 1 in contention.
This week, it’ll be a surprise if he isn’t.
[Bet Jason Day at FanDuel and get a $500 risk-free bet.]
Matthew Vincenzi
Jason Day (+2300, $10 bet wins $230)
Day has four consecutive top-10 finishes and is in a prime spot to get back to the winner's circle this week at The Northern Trust. Jason is no stranger to success this time of year having finished 5th (2010), 2nd (2014), 1st (2015), 4th (2016), and 6th (2017) in the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
In his past 24 rounds he ranks seventh in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and third in the field in Strokes Gained: Par 5. If Day can complement his newly regained ball-striking form with his typical hot putter, he has a good chance to be the one hoisting the trophy on Sunday.
[Bet Jason Day at FanDuel and get a $500 risk-free bet.]
Josh Perry
Patrick Reed (+3000)
It looks like Jason Day will be quite popular this week, so I’ll take a look at the other guy on my card, Patrick Reed.
He’s technically the defending champion of this event, albeit on a different course, but he’s played TPC Boston well also. He’s got three top-six finishes in his last four starts at this track.
He was also 2nd off the tee last week at the Wyndham and gained a little over four strokes with the approach. Ball striking is always the concern with Reed, but it appears that is rounding into form as well.
[Bet Patrick Reed at bet365. NJ only.]
Collin Wilson
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Wash, rinse, repeat. Two of my last five writeups have been on Morikawa, each resulting in an outright win.
There really is no reason to change course at TPC Boston, where ball-striking and Greens in Regulation (GIR) should you guide you to your picks.
The winner of this event will likely be hot with his irons and Morikawa is 14th in ball-striking and 23rd in GIR, so he ticks those boxes. Perhaps most importantly, the newly-minted PGA Champion ranks second in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green.
[Bet Collin Morikawa at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]
