2021 3M Open Longshot Bets: Our Best Sleeper Picks at TPC Twin Cities
Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images. Pictured: Kyoung-Hoon Lee
- The PGA TOUR heads to Blaine, Minn., for the 3M Open as the season enters the homestretch.
- The 3M Open is no stranger to longshot winners as the last two champions cashed at triple-digit odds.
- Our staff lays out who they think is someone capable of pulling off a similar feat, below.
With the Open Championship in the rear-view, we're officially out of major championship season. That means it's full speed ahead to the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the Ryder Cup. With just a few weeks between now and the culmination of the 2020/21 PGA TOUR season, now is the time for golfers to make a run up the table.
The past two winners at the 3M Open have cashed at triple-digit odds and this week's field could be perfect for another sleeper, so check out our favorite longshot bets at TPC Twin Cities below:
Jason Sobel
Brandon Hagy (+13000)
Two weeks ago, we watched Hagy pound away at drives with reckless abandon at the John Deere Classic, a strategy which kept him on the leaderboard until faltering Sunday. If that plan found success there, then it certainly can here, as well. The Dylan Frittelli lookalike owns a ton of offensive firepower and should be able to keep up if (alright, when) this one turns into a birdie-fest.
Finished of 18th-6th in his last two starts shows he’s trending upward and a check of his full results this season shows he’s probably better than you’d think. Expect another solid run this week.
Josh Perry
Brandon Stone (+20000)
Stone is eighth in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee in Europe this year and also gains strokes with the putter.
I mentioned long players who can putt, and this is my real flier.
Stone’s form isn’t great, but he does have three wins on the European Tour under his belt and picked up a win in Africa earlier this year.
But he’s never a guy who will show any kind of form. He will just boom or bust. He might miss the cut by five. But if the driver and putter both show up this week, he can contend in this type of field.
Chris Murphy
Kyoung-Hoon Lee (+20000)
I am going down narrative street for my longshot pick this week as Kyoung-Hoon Lee is set to tee it up on a style of track that he has had great success on in recent events. Lee has shown up on TPC courses time and again this year, including his first TOUR win a few months ago at TPC Craig Ranch for the AT&T Byron Nelson. He also showed during that win that he had the ability to go really low to get it done as he got to 25-under par, which sets up well for another low scoring event this week in Minnesota.
While he missed the cut in his last event a few weeks back at the Rocket Mortgage, he may have been distracted as he had his first child that Sunday. I’ll add the baby swag narrative to the TPC fit, and we have ourselves a cheap longshot at +20000 on DraftKings.
Matt Vincenzi
Cameron Champ (+15000)
Cam Champ certainly fits the bomber narrative we saw in 2019. It has been a struggle for the 26-year-old this season, but his best start of the year came in his most recent appearance at the John Deere Classic, where Champ finished 11th. He did so while gaining an impressive 6.2 strokes off the tee, which led the field.
If Champ has indeed found some form, TPC Twin Cities should be a nice fit for his skill set. Champ’s previous wins have seemingly come out of nowhere and while volatile, is a golfer who carries outright win equity.
Landon Silinsky
Kyle Stanley (+7000)
Stanley is another elite ball-striker that’s been held back by his short game of late. He hasn’t missed a cut since the RBC Heritage back in April and ranks No. 1 in this field in SG: Ball-Striking over his past 24 rounds. He’s a little over a tenth of a stroke better putting on bentgrass than other surfaces, so hopefully he won’t bleed away strokes on the greens this week.
It helps that he’s seen the course before, finishing T-32 here last year. Overall Stanley is in much better form this year than he was last, and I’ll gladly take a shot at 70/1 he gets hot with the putter for four days.
Bryan Berryman
Bo Hoag (+13000)
Bo has been a guy I’ve been watching closely over his last year on TOUR. There’s no question the talent is there to win, but consistency has plagued him over his 51 career starts. But this is the longshot section, so we can’t be afraid to take a shot on potential.
Over the last 12 rounds, Bo ranks first in strokes gained on approach and 14th in birdie or better percentage. That’s enough to warrant a small position on my betting card. As always with longshots, I recommend pairing it with a top-5 or top-10 bet in case they can’t close the deal come Sunday.
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