2021 Masters Market Report: Bets Favor Jordan Spieth, Money Pours in on Justin Thomas

2021 Masters Market Report: Bets Favor Jordan Spieth, Money Pours in on Justin Thomas article feature image
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Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth

A week after picking up his first win in almost four years, nothing has changed for Jordan Spieth at the Masters in the eyes of bettors.

He’s still the most popular bet.

Across major sportsbooks, there’s no golfer getting more bets to win the Masters this week as he looks for his second green jacket and back-to-back PGA TOUR wins.

Not only is he the most popular in terms of bets taken, but he’s attracting big money, too, along with Justin Thomas.

We’ve compiled data from four major sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet — to see what bettors think at Augusta for outright markets and first-round leader.

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Outright Market

It’s all about Spieth and Thomas.

Spieth has taken the most bets at all four of the sportsbooks mentioned above with a ticket percentage as high as 12% at BetMGM. Brooks Koepka, making his first appearance since undergoing knee surgery, is second in ticket percentage at BetMGM and in the top-five at PointsBet.

Not surprisingly, Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau and Thomas are other names found in the top-five for bet count at books.

Somewhat surprisingly is the absence of Jon Rahm in the top five at any of the books. Instead, Collin Morikawa found himself in the top-five at both FanDuel and PointsBet.

Bet count refers to the total bets made on a player. A $10 bet and $1,000 are weighed the same for total bets. The handle market covers total dollars risked on a golfer. That’s where Thomas joins Spieth as the most popular play.

Thomas has 11% of the handle at PointsBet, where Koepka ranks second and Spieth third. However, Spieth has the lead in handle at FanDuel, DraftKings and BetMGM with at least 13% of the handle at each.

Rahm is in the top-five for handle at both BetMGM and PointsBet as he searches for his first major victory.

First-Round Leader

Have we mentioned Jordan Spieth is popular?

It’s probably less of a surprise he’s getting the most bets and money in the first-round leader market consider he’s held the first-round lead three times since 2015.

Johnson, Thomas and Morikawa are the consensus most popular plays in this market at the other major books, along with Spieth.

Notable golfers seeing at least one percent of the handle at BetMGM: Lee Westwood, Fred Couples, Corey Conners, Justin Rose, Danny Willett and Ryan Palmer.

Other Markets

It’s an all-or-nothing approach with Spieth. He’s also the most popular play to miss the cut (+550) at PointsBet, taking five times as much action as the next closest golfer.

At FanDuel, it’s Koepka (+245) leading the way in “miss the cut” bets.

Matthew Wolff is the biggest liability at PointsBet, in large part due to a $1,000 bet with a $126,000 payout at +12500 odds to win the tournament. A Will Zalatoris win would be worth $93,750 to one bettor risking $625. There’s a $1,700 bet on Justin Rose to place in the top-five which would also pay out $93,750.

Corey Conners has the largest potential single payout at BetMGM thanks to a $2,500 bet to net $250,000. Gary Woodland would be another six-figure payout at $125,000.

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