PGA Tour Picks: 3M Open Longshot Bets To Make Right Now
Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Seamus Power
- Getting your PGA TOUR picks in before this week's 3M Open starts on Thursday?
- The best values are available now, so our staff is here to break down their favorite sleepers.
- Find their four longshot bets outlined below, headlined by a trio of golfers at 300-1 odds.
The stars have certainly dominated the PGA TOUR’s Return to Golf. Jon Rahm became the latest big name to win a tournament over the last six weeks, joining the likes of Webb Simpson, Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson, Collin Morikawa and Daniel Berger.
That should change this week at the 3M Open, which should be a longshot bettor’s dream. This field is wide open and there are plenty of live golfers at huge prices heading to TPC Twin Cities.
Here are our favorite sleepers this week:
Sahith Theegala +30000
Oh Sahith, you had me at 300/1.
Remember when everyone went gaga for Will Gordon a few weeks ago after his T-3 result at the Travelers Championship? Well, here’s some news for you: Theegala is a more heralded and decorated young player and will be facing a less competitive field this week.
The reigning winner of the Ben Hogan and Jack Nicklaus awards, Theegala was ranked as high as third in the world as an amateur. If you don’t think he can finish top-five this week – or maybe even win – then you’re probably still in disbelief that recent college kid Matthew Wolff won here last year.
Derek Ernst +30000
It’s been awhile since Ernst has had an impact on the PGA TOUR, but he’s posted three solid results on the Korn Ferry Tour over the past month.
Outside of the top five or six names, there’s not a lot separating this field from a KFT playoff event so I don’t think it’s crazy to expect his recent form to lead to another solid week on a driver heavy-course, which has always been his strong suit.
Sepp Straka +8000
I really like the calls from my colleagues here and am definitely interested in those guys, particularly in top-20 and DFS markets. Seamus Power was actually the guy I was going to write up, but alas I was slow to the draw behind Collin. I’ll mix it up and list a different guy who isn’t quite as longshot-y but still interesting past the big names.
Sepp Straka is one of the rare guys in this field that has both distance to compete but also is able to keep his balls in the fairway consistently to give himself good second shots, which I think will be the standout skill here at Twin Cities. He had a rough weekend at the Memorial last week, but honestly who didn’t? Prior to that he was inside the top-15 two weeks in a row. Given the course, I think the 27-year-old is undervalued at 80/1.
Seamus Power +30000
The Irishman out of East Tennessee State has had a bit of a power surge recently. Distance off the tee box should be key at the 3M Open and Power lives up to his name by ranking second in this field in recent driving distance behind only Ernst.
Power’s 12th-place finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic was thanks to a 70% accuracy rate off the tee-box and 79% scramble rate.
Ranking 50th in Strokes Gained: Putting, this is a longshot that should not take himself out of contention on the green.