Perry: How to Take Advantage of Mispriced Justin Thomas Ryder Cup Props
Ian Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Justin Thomas
- The 2018 Ryder Cup offers plenty of prop betting opportunities for savvy golf bettors.
- The Action Network's Joshua Perry analyzed the full menu of Ryder Cup props and offers his three favorite bets.
The primary focus for the Ryder Cup is which team will come out on top, but the event provides many betting options other than just simply picking a winner. There are point total over/unders for each player, top scorer for each team and odds on which team will win each session.
I’ve already bet on Europe to win the Ryder Cup, and here are three prop bets I’m taking as well:
Justin Thomas top U.S. Rookie (-135)
Thomas is the only player for the U.S. who played the Open de France this season. He finished inside the top 10 that week.
He’ll be up against Tony Finau and Bryson DeChambeau for top-scoring rookie, and this really comes down to opportunity. Thomas is likely to get more matches than either Finau or DeChambeau.
More matches means more opportunities to pick up points.
If the U.S. is going to win, Thomas will likely play a big part in that. He’ll probably be in four or possibly all five sessions. Meanwhile, it’s hard to see DeChambeau or Finau getting more than three matches considering the depth on the U.S. side.
I expect Thomas to have a strong week for the Americans, which leads into my next bet …
Thomas top American Scorer (+600)
As mentioned, Thomas has the capability of playing all five matches, which is my top requirement for these bets. If a guy is going to sit out two or three sessions, he simply can’t win this bet for you.
Thomas is in a small group with Dustin Johnson as the most likely players to see action in all five matches. Couple that with experience on this course and I think he has a leg up on the rest of the Americans.
Fleetwood top European Scorer (+800)
Fleetwood is in the same boat as Thomas in this tournament. Both are Ryder Cup rookies, but when compared to their teammates, they’ve had more success on this course.
Fleetwood has a win here in 2016 and is a player Europe can rely on for the maximum number of matches. We’re also getting a better price with him over the bigger guns such as Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy.
Looking at Europe’s roster as a whole, it’s hard to see anyone but those three and Jon Rahm playing all five sessions. There’s always a chance that someone gets hot such as when Thomas Pieters did in 2016 when he went 4-1, but usually the best bets in these spots are the undervalued stars.