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Webb Simpson’s DFS Price Tag at PGA Championship Is Ridiculous

Aug 07, 2018 11:00 AM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Webb Simpson PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $10,700 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-25, MC, T-54, T-13, T-33

Odds: +6600 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +500 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value (Sportsbook): Simpson (-105) over Louis Oosthuizen (-125)

Tee Times: 8:34 a.m. ET (Thursday); 1:59 p.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

I don’t know if Bellerive is the perfect place to bet on Simpson, but DraftKings is almost forcing our hand with his ridiculous $7,700 price tag. He’s way more talented than that, and he’s shown he can hang with the big boys, lapping the field at the Players in May. It’s rare to get that much win equity in the $7k range, so regardless of course fit, he’s in play.


The Metrics

Here’s how Simpson ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

    • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 19th
    • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-28th
    • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 42nd
    • Long-Term Driving Distance: 105th
    • Strokes Gained: Approach: 19th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

May 25, 2018; Fort Worth, TX, USA; Webb Simpson chips onto the eighth green during the second round of the Fort Worth Invitational golf tournament at Colonial Country Club. Mandatory Credit: Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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