Angels-Cardinals Betting Guide: Will St. Louis Complete the Sweep on Sunday Night Baseball?

Jun 23, 2019 01:17 PM EDT
Credit:

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout (27).

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Angels at St. Louis Cardinals

  • Angels odds: +123
  • Cardinals odds: -133
  • Over/Under: 9
  • Probable starters: Tyler Skaggs, LAA (6-6, 4.61 ERA) vs. Miles Mikolas, STL (5-7 4.48 ERA)
  • First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN

We are about five weeks away from the MLB trade deadline and the Cardinals find themselves right in the thick of the NL Central (one game back entering Sunday) and wild card (tied with the Rockies for the second spot) races.

The Angels, on the other hand, can pretty much kiss the division goodbye, as they trail the Astros by 10 games in the AL West. The wild card (four games back) is still in play, though, which means every game over the next few weeks becomes extra critical in determining the direction the team takes at the deadline.

Let’s take a closer look at the series finale between the Angels and Cardinals as St. Louis looks to complete the interleague sweep. — Stuckey


>> All odds as of 12:15 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets


Scouting the Starters

By Sean Zerillo

Both pitchers are likely riding high coming into this matchup following quality-start victories in their most recent outings.

Miles Mikolas has shown excellent control since joining the Cardinals as a free agent from Japan last offseason, walking 3.6% of his batters faced in 2018, and 4.3% in 2019.

His whiff rate (a shade over 9%) and strikeout rate (6.5 K/9) are each below average. Instead, Mikolas relies on the defense behind him, keeping 50% of his batted balls on the ground while looking to generate quick outs.

As someone trying to pitch to contact, Mikolas has been harmed more than most by the lower drag on the baseball in 2019, seeing his home run per flyball rate double from 9.2% to 18.9% over 2018.

As a result, his ERA (+1.65), FIP (+1.28), and xFIP (+0.43) have all increased compared to last year.

The average exit velocity on batted balls against him has risen from 85.4 mph (top 8% in baseball) to 87.9 mph.

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