Sunday MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions for Cubs vs. Nationals: Biggest Betting Model Edge (August 1)

Sunday MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions for Cubs vs. Nationals: Biggest Betting Model Edge (August 1) article feature image
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Greg Fiume/Getty Images. Pictured: Rafael Ortega, left, of the Chicago Cubs celebrates with teammate Andrew Romine.

  • The Chicago Cubs take on the Washington Nationals in Sunday's Major League Baseball showdown.
  • Our betting model shows plenty of value on the total going over the current number.
  • Check out below what's led us to this sharp play in this NL confrontation.

Cubs vs. Nationals Odds

Cubs Odds +100
Nationals Odds -120
Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115)
Time 1:05 p.m. ET
TV MASN

The Chicago Cubs had an eventful trade deadline.

After underperforming for the first half of the season, the Cubbies decided to become sellers, dealing Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Craig Kimbrel and Javy Baez and starting a total rebuild on the North Side.

With key offensive components now elsewhere, this also has an effect on the betting market or how bettors now perceive the new-look Cubs.

On Sunday afternoon, the Cubs visit the Washington Nationals for a game currently with an over/under of 8.5 runs.

And interestingly enough, the Cubs vs. Nationals total is also offering the biggest (by far) betting edge of the day per The Action Network’s MLB Pro Projections.

So, what’s the edge bettors should be locking in?

Is the depleted Cubs offense one that should be faded? Or is the negative perception of Chicago’s lineup now providing value on the over?

Well, here’s there answer.

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Cubs vs. Nationals Pick

Our MLB betting model projects the Cubs vs. Nationals total at a lofty 9.7 runs, which, as I mentioned above, is much higher than the current 8.5 market consensus (click here for live MLB odds).

The difference between our projection and the available total results in a very enticing A-minus graded, 8.7% edge for the Cubs vs. Nationals over.

To put this in perspective, the next largest edge comes from Indians vs. White Sox at 5.9%, showing just how bullish our model is on the Cubs vs. Nationals over.

PRO Projections Pick: Cubs-Nationals Over 8.5

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